South American Leagues · resolved market
Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x079217c8e78b7b5141142fdb4bf2115586a980610e0ea1cf08b9ce71eba2bf02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 24c | 3,103$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.16 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 69c | 2,449$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.57 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 78c | 2,193$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.84 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Under | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 70c | 1,853$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 30c | 1,394$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.6 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 40c | 686.06$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.46 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 619.48$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.73 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 68c | 598.82$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.67 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed Under | 56c | 545.82$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.87 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 70c | 507$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.9 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 71c | 395$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.51 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Over | 51c | 333$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.17 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Under | 73c | 282.19$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 32c | 203.69$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.53 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Over | 32c | 197.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.3 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 71c | 175$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.31 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 71c | 175$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 24c | 126.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.28 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 25c | 119.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.38 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 27c | 94.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…19c0backed Under | 29c | 86.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 29c | 77.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 40c | 66.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Over | 31c | 64.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 36c | 64.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 24c | 64.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…4b12backed Under | 31c | 63.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 25c | 63.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 25c | 60.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…f0bebacked Over | 29c | 58.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 71c | 52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 66c | 39.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x564b…1e19backed Over | 53c | 35.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…f6acbacked Over | 28c | 35.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Under | 58c | 34.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 54c | 31.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 38c | 28.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 73c | 26.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…2a65backed Over | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 57c | 20.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x404f…f2a1backed Under | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 3.5this page
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)Cruzeiro EC won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-2.5)Cruzeiro EC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.