TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdc93…b91d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
123
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: MLB, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 63 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT7159.2%42 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Anisimova (-1.5) vs Parry (+1.5)backed Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.61
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajdabacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$61.79
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Halys (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$163.41
Set Handicap: Bencic (-1.5) vs Stearns (+1.5)backed Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$120.45
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+400%+$369.28
Set Handicap: Cirstea (-1.5) vs Sierra (+1.5)backed Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$63.08
Linette vs. Swiatek: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$89.68
Roland Garros WTA: Katie Boulter vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$25.44
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Darderi (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Osaka (+1.5)backed Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$110.85
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Bartunkova (+1.5)backed Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$76.12
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovicbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$38.54
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Kalinskaya vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$121.05
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Laura Siegemund vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$37.23
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Cocciaretto (+1.5)backed Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.11
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Liudmila Samsonova vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$51.15
Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Masarova (+1.5)backed Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$40.16
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT3174.2%23 W · 8 L+6.8wins+0.22per pick52cpaid+46.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
MLB — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$71.06
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$145.11
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$49.96
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$73.44
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$70.43
Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.3
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$31.27
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$35.98
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$73.31
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$120.1
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$31.43
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$108
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$46.96
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+76.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$83.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$80.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.