MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d5d69ecd996f8798cc0f902a6d52691425d5ab54d93f61510a4d817e4ca769b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 1,109$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.46 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 770.56$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.64 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Colorado Rockies | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Atlanta Braves | 48c | 651.52$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.83 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Atlanta Braves | 65c | 545$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.37 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Colorado Rockies | 35c | 456.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.15 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Colorado Rockies | 35c | 406.75$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.36 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 253.2$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.19 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 201.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.17 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 185.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 184.52$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.09 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colorado Rockies | 49c | 175.97$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.23 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 165.21$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.21 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…8680backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 139.14$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.73 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 105$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Colorado Rockies | 37c | 102.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 96.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 93.06$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc93…b91dbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.8wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 85.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.31 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 81.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 326 | 47.9%156 W · 170 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea7…c6a0backed Atlanta Braves | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 51.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ff…ec82backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 215 | 54.9%118 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Colorado Rockies | 41c | 46.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 44.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69b…9ce7backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 42.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 330 | 51.8%171 W · 159 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Atlanta Braves | 48c | 38.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Atlanta Braves | 29c | 38.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Colorado Rockies | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 37.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Colorado Rockies | 41c | 33.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 33.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4f8ebacked Colorado Rockies | 37c | 32.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Colorado Rockies | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 316 | 50.6%160 W · 156 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 31.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Colorado Rockies | 35c | 28.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Colorado Rockies | 37c | 27.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 235 | 22.6%53 W · 182 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Colorado Rockies | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Atlanta Braves | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 84 | 84.5%71 W · 13 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 76cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 24.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +21.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 20.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 205 | 51.7%106 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 20.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 20.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado RockiesAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 15.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 16.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.