MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75b8873db39d06af16e6aad354bc71c1d55347f239a6815d7b803e77048af72d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 43c | 1,531$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.15 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Over | 40c | 800$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 57c | 689.07$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.77 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 60c | 477.19$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.59 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 56c | 430.21$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.92 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 50c | 352.69$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.28 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 55c | 320.35$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.28 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 46c | 311.45$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.96 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Under | 57c | 295.82$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.62 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 60c | 246$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 59c | 119.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.45 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Under | 61c | 111.16$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.81 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 43c | 87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 81.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 53c | 72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 60.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 37c | 53.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 57c | 48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Under | 41c | 39.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Under | 47c | 28.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 55c | 25.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 58c | 19.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…05f8backed Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado RockiesAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 15.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 16.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.