MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1931f435eb8a65c8b58b422b9c683c742f69c9ed145444bd379d6b7e1b0dd3fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 50c | 28,300$14,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,147.52 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 10,911$5,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,489.63 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under | 50c | 10,760$5,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,380 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 7,713$3,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,929.68 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 47c | 7,488$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,947.42 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 52c | 6,776$3,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,490.71 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 38c | 3,808$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.8 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 47c | 2,987$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.31 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 66c | 1,921$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.45 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 53c | 1,740$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.2 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…afe6backed Under | 49c | 1,685$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 50c | 1,683$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.88 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under | 49c | 1,352$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.13 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Over | 62c | 1,199$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.1 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…9857backed Under | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Under | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 53c | 1,094$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.54 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c61…fce1backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 992$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.96 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 18c | 738.48$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.95 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 726.62$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.01 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 664.28$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.78 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 49c | 499.98$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 491.45$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.55 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 51c | 379.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.95 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 49c | 360$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.09 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Over | 51c | 343.57$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.22 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 45c | 333.22$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.27 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 51c | 314.53$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.41 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 51c | 294.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 51c | 280$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 50c | 251.27$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.64 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 49c | 230$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 49c | 209.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 49c | 200.47$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.24 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 52c | 195$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Under | 48c | 164.15$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.15 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 51c | 163.89$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.31 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc93…b91dbacked Under | 61c | 162.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.8wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Under | 52c | 142.23$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.27 | 197 | 52.3%103 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 56c | 139$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 60c | 124.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 48c | 120.94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7dfbbacked Under | 51c | 115.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.05 | 330 | 32.7%108 W · 222 L | -22.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Under | 57c | 104.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 74c | 103$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…40aabacked Over | 51c | 95.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 87.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 56c | 86.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 48c | 77.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef6…9b93backed Over | 51c | 72.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 51c | 66.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 51c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…eadebacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd7…8e4abacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 54c | 56.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +21.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Over | 43c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2b…0dd7backed Under | 74c | 54.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under | 59c | 53.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 55c | 52.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 49c | 40.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Under | 51c | 39.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f82…91e5backed Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Under | 53c | 38.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d5…9622backed Over | 51c | 35.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 40c | 34.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 49c | 33.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 42c | 32.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 50c | 32.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3da3backed Over | 45c | 31.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d94…5beabacked Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9e…8e90backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 44c | 26.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 208 | 52.9%110 W · 98 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5this page
- Athletics vs. Baltimore OriolesAthletics won
- Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-4.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Athletics (-5.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Baltimore OriolesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.