TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x87d1…3da3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Asian League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 58 out of 100; worst Commodities at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT3650%18 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.83
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+309.5%+$47.52
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+111.1%+$17.9
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.77
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.43
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.88
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$15.01
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.24
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$21.94
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+113.3%+$360.48
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$43.76
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+199.4%+$933.12
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.78
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$15.61
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.87
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.16
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.42
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$26.73
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$24.03
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$5.82
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.92
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.23
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.96
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padresbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$10.18
Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.47
Athletics vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.39
All 13 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick47cpaid+75.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.28
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$2.9
Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.83
All 4 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+75.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$5.43
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.2
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.91
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$8.87
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Qinwen Zheng vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$15.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+91%+$27.24
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$65.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$10.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$30.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+55%+$9.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$16.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.