TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,390
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,308

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,390 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd29…77aebacked No44c39,442$17,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,179.592934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes72c8,472$6,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3445,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes64c7,332$4,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,621.862,52039.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes56c5,833$3,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,541.331,76650.2%887 W · 879 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes57c5,573$3,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,423.931,74950.7%887 W · 862 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes56c3,823$2,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,687.62,52842.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L+53.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes56c2,206$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.1940156.4%226 W · 175 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No12c1,947$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.053928.2%11 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes56c1,150$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.4712552.8%66 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed No45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.111764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+49.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes56c1,083$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.3847155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.863652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed No3c833.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518838.8%73 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Yes55c795.98$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.639950.5%50 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes56c712.87$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.0313849.3%68 W · 70 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes57c698.31$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.2716647.6%79 W · 87 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Yes57c624.99$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.2311764.1%75 W · 42 L+11.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed Yes56c535.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.672360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes53c446.46$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.464537.8%17 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes56c372.38$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.8530049.7%149 W · 151 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No3c371$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5514942.3%63 W · 86 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Yes57c280$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Yes56c270$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.86457.8%37 W · 27 L+10.9wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+51.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Yes79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+49%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11020138.3%77 W · 124 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes51c233.75$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.6240448%194 W · 210 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017440.2%70 W · 104 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes56c223$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.121,12646.3%521 W · 605 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes64c206.78$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4982053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked No49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c07…4529backed Yes45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1106738.8%26 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Yes57c194.68$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.719458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes57c175.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4328253.5%151 W · 131 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411850%9 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee5b…dac8backed No53c155$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.151844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No49c150.75$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3789955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes51c134.08$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.714848%71 W · 77 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes53c132.08$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0833552.8%177 W · 158 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc407…0875backed No45c132$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.33per pick45cpaid+84.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2512153.7%65 W · 56 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd77c…ad9bbacked Yes54c120.57$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa110…3053backed Yes78c120.24$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes56c110.74$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7393446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59b4…73e0backed Yes46c104.35$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.357143.7%31 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+42.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes58c103.48$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4819268.2%131 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes56c100.01$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.691,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427557.3%43 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8188…9c7bbacked Yes78c97.83$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes51c97.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.584953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No41c95.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5273850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes58c93.55$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3447860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Yes56c92.63$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5310752.3%56 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f42…0524backed Yes57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Yes56c82.33$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.087574.7%56 W · 19 L+13.6wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Yes56c81.18$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.813164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes52c76.4$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.411,46435.6%521 W · 943 L-33.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked Yes78c73$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.066643.9%29 W · 37 L-7.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-20.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed No42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304845.8%22 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d03…9cefbacked Yes56c70.68$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.11338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87d1…3da3backed Yes57c69.29$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.14683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick47cpaid+75.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec17…5c42backed Yes77c64.93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.934100%4 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked No51c58.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0714351.7%74 W · 69 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c8f…da09backed Yes56c53.3$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.192864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0767…5717backed Yes58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.72862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d5…11f0backed Yes59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.852462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Yes77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.52365.2%15 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+30.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3109…ff47backed Yes56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce3f…67c9backed No48c49.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.993132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed Yes67c49.3$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.323357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed No46c49$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.318729.9%26 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes70c43.7$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.141,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8218644.6%83 W · 103 L-0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked No54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.62030%6 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes79c38.87$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.31,23549.9%616 W · 619 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…daa0backed No52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202650%13 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82e2…0cf6backed Yes78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes57c37.13$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9115455.8%86 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a37…4daebacked Yes56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.713151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Yes52c34.62$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.628350.6%42 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c9d…c024backed Yes57c34.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.853100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7b5…5b1ebacked Yes58c31.84$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.374100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e62…fd00backed Yes53c30.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.195040%20 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Yes66c30.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1320860.1%125 W · 83 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Yes60c29.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.955373.6%39 W · 14 L+6.7wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+21.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd7c5…2353backed Yes51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.411070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes57c28.89$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4239058.2%227 W · 163 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes57c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.187263.9%46 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked Yes72c22.52$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.316759.7%40 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b5…b692backed Yes57c21.04$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.052050%10 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc93c…95cabacked Yes57c20.05$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.623464.7%22 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8862…bbf5backed Yes77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.63161.3%19 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick72cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7e0…a311backed Yes80c16.05$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.211681.3%13 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+63.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Yes79c14.88$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.193663.9%23 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.