TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd7c5…2353

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
125
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Asian League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT7250%36 W · 36 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.05
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Bbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.05
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Cbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: magic vs Walczaki (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Cbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.11
Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Counter-Strike: paiN vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.04
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.04
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.94
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs fnatic (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.62
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca (BO5) - ESL Challenger League North America Finals Playoffsbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$14.62
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+68%+$15.4
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Ursa (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$27.37
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.66
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$18.66
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.58
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$10.35
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Abacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$27.01
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+138.6%+$72.06
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+87.5%+$17.49
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+94.4%+$14.16
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$31.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$19.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$21.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.