TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will CF Montréal win on 2026-05-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,962
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,858

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,962 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed No56c14,381$8,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,327.7715647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fc3…c9e7backed Yes43c10,126$4,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,356.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc55…dd71backed No57c10,126$5,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,356.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No54c4,449$2,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,031.2277751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked No52c3,772$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792.131752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Yes50c3,690$1,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,845825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-48.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Yes44c3,555$1,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,564.162934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc99…e947backed Yes50c3,127$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c2,813$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.753,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes44c2,448$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.928946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ad…b33bbacked Yes64c2,123$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.91233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes46c2,000$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9106851.5%35 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes45c1,958$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.0197146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked No56c1,786$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.311752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes44c1,705$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7509854.1%53 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No54c1,552$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.9853040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd217…b3f3backed No51c1,420$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ed…d916backed Yes50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes59c1,176$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.8492346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes48c1,112$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.7610450%52 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes44c1,064$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.958547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No54c1,036$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.7818655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No38c986.09$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.7799340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No36c939$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.31,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes44c909.1$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No44c811.06$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.837726%20 W · 57 L-8.9wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No56c808.86$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.1512146.3%56 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes48c714$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.7223858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes31c619.9$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.1787154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1af…c4d1backed No57c609.96$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19e9…239bbacked Yes50c604.88$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No52c552.08$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26598945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No52c550$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2649268.5%63 W · 29 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No70c534$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.5512667.5%85 W · 41 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked No50c533$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes41c509.05$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.151,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30552639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes45c499.99$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.7920249%99 W · 103 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes60c489.92$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.0419073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes53c482.79$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.929370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes44c448.52$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.3572850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Yes49c445.92$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.51942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes44c409.97$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.4370249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa12b…a7aebacked Yes49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4be6…dc20backed Yes18c399.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes46c374.08$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.4753046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Yes50c357.29$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.654959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed No57c349$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.072142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed No55c347$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.257962%49 W · 30 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+37.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1298661.6%53 W · 33 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes43c289.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6955750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes43c289.98$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6968550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No56c288.82$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.0868150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes49c283.04$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3319560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No35c274.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.747951.9%41 W · 38 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No45c258.19$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.645140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Yes49c240$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.67140.8%29 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes44c228.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4542947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810243.1%44 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No52c199.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.995156.9%29 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes68c190.19$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.331,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No50c177.72$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.861,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No53c173.19$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9610753.3%57 W · 50 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No57c168.72$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9619056.3%107 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes52c154.36$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7547240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No51c151.25$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6180358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6535149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No21c146.31$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5910045%45 W · 55 L+18.7wins+0.19per pick26cpaid+97.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes50c142$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6120849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No43c141.53$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2554949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2234backed Yes57c138.55$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.971942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes56c129.81$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.692564%16 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Yes43c116.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.288129.6%24 W · 57 L-10.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes44c116$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.041,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes44c115$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.637649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes44c115$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.791553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4810757%61 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb065…60ccbacked No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5862…8af8backed No50c91.88$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7053…25e4backed Yes49c91.84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x034e…f79dbacked Yes18c83.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-50.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes55c83$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.659965.7%65 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No75c75.98$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9948344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Yes68c70.39$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.082737%10 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No53c70.18$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.178344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No41c67.51$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.947953.2%42 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes48c66.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3626150.2%131 W · 130 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Yes38c66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.375259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes20c65.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0812343.9%54 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No50c64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3217858.4%104 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No51c62.98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.868760.9%53 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked No52c58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.845240.4%21 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2709…9e3bbacked Yes44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255846.6%27 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No55c55.33$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.810655.7%59 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes33c51$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9116159.6%96 W · 65 L+18.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No38c49.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7523953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes52c48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes59c46.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4596756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.