Mls · resolved market
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-05-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x732933e66cae3cf3d73808ef1d2d0e91b5ea4cec796086f7e901155d3c6fbb81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 3,843$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.13 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 28c | 3,150$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 78c | 1,643$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.21 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Yes | 12c | 1,496$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.55 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 22c | 996$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.97 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 24c | 903.84$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.28 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 29c | 895.06$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.54 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 70c | 703.48$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.85 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 70c | 612.99$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.9 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 77c | 483$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.35 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 71c | 442.27$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.26 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 38c | 408.38$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.44 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 70c | 343.29$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.44 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 79c | 318.19$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.82 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 22c | 271$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 70c | 247$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 232.12$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.83 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 79c | 224.62$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 69c | 219.02$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 79c | 211.08$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 75c | 195$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 76c | 183.13$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 70c | 155.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 71c | 153.83$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 151$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 39c | 127.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 79c | 111.02$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked Yes | 26c | 107.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 73c | 106.95$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 75c | 100.4$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb065…60ccbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 30c | 99.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb137…8039backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked No | 76c | 87.26$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 18c | 79.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 73c | 78.54$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 77.97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 20c | 71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 79c | 62.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 71c | 59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Yes | 27c | 55.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 79c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 27c | 51.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 74c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 23c | 46.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…a9a8backed Yes | 27c | 41.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 31c | 35.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 72c | 32.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed No | 77c | 31.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 70c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 33c | 30.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked No | 72c | 29.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.36per pick | 63cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 70c | 28.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8701…8147backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked No | 75c | 27.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked No | 73c | 26.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 22.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 73c | 19.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 70c | 18.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…a8a1backed No | 74c | 16.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077f…777fbacked No | 70c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 79c | 13.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.87 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-05-13?this page
- Will CF Montréal vs. Portland Timbers end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CF Montréal win on 2026-05-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.