TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,119
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,893

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,119 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed No45c10,254$4,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,594.5399340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes36c6,372$2,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,069.6314761.2%90 W · 57 L+20.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No6c4,728$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.7813228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes19c2,694$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,181.7853040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes18c2,070$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.057549.3%37 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes19c2,063$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,671.164325.6%11 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes72c1,694$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.9739567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No21c1,469$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.337726%20 W · 57 L-8.9wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No80c1,205$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.3677751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No36c1,187$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.5211454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.969050%45 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Yes47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.831060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No9c1,063$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8945140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No63c1,046$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.931,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes19c1,000$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8104025%10 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed No23c999.99$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.9520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0e…1461backed No55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed No5c917.74$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.769052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Yes78c790.38$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.454858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes46c730.47$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.0225851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes56c689.81$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.5798945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked No55c686.22$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.421060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes80c666.45$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.7219052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No47c654.25$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.4410644.3%47 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked No44c642.86$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick53cpaid-64.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes78c608.13$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.118774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No4c600$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244020%8 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No11c575.39$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4154949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes74c559.6$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.523548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Yes66c534$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.6119960.8%121 W · 78 L+22.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes66c517.69$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.215068%34 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked Yes78c427.27$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.812860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551e…a3f4backed Yes69c389.7$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.261384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.25per pick60cpaid+36.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No34c312.27$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.1712343.9%54 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No63c308$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.0428851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No55c307.25$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.6944447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes20c299$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.24438.6%17 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No35c275.4$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4510960.6%66 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes17c271.86$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.644141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes20c225.17$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.174528.9%13 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No48c217$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1687154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f39…7a21backed Yes29c216.86$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+245.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa69c…890ebacked Yes20c205.85$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.85650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+51.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes18c205.56$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.5624326.3%64 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Yes19c200$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1622445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+43.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Yes70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes43c184.83$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.563,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee3…cab9backed No31c165$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No52c163.53$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4737249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc117…6ddabacked No33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.51127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ef3…df7fbacked Yes18c138.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes47c135.97$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.026746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes17c134.69$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7953046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3315458.4%90 W · 64 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes47c120.28$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5823953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes18c120$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9920249%99 W · 103 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No40c116.22$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.920849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x030d…8e95backed Yes75c115.34$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.972857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes19c112.73$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3111046.4%51 W · 59 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d7…7423backed Yes46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd92e…fcbdbacked Yes37c108.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.11650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c77…bde7backed Yes48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+70.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.153141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes49c93.67$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7716657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8c7…1942backed Yes18c83.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.332010%2 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb1…1998backed Yes19c80.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+436.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaccd…befdbacked Yes78c76.98$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.01977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+35.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No80c70$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568760.9%53 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes55c61.38$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3512346.3%57 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes40c60.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2224920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3109…ff47backed Yes47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes74c52$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3492346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7053…25e4backed Yes39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.271145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.510249%50 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aa1…f0b2backed Yes38c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312065%13 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.25per pick40cpaid+98.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes60c49.59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8430444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.782560%15 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No33c44.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7736051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc060…2a5abacked Yes72c44.44$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c7a…bdb5backed Yes56c41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.142777.8%21 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+19.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Yes62c38.53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.693548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes77c37.69$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6719172.3%138 W · 53 L+36.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x3bb6…8cdebacked Yes56c35.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-59.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes70c32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.616159.6%96 W · 65 L+18.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x71ff…6465backed Yes80c31.87$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.53875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Yes35c31.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4319645.9%90 W · 106 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked Yes78c30.4$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.79425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-67.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Yes60c30.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes61c30.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.713464.9%87 W · 47 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5b35…12b3backed Yes68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba34…32b8backed Yes70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Yes74c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0814549.7%72 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7c5…2353backed Yes67c22.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.39742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed Yes68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.061741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84e6…952dbacked Yes80c21.28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.261747.1%8 W · 9 L-4.3wins-0.25per pick72cpaid-37%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xac03…f019backed Yes71c21.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.13977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Yes64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.112842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-33%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaaca…c634backed Yes69c18.2$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+67.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked Yes72c14.17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.972875%21 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.