TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,685
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,970

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,685 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb6ee…0bd0backed No42c17,683$7,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,336.971233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes58c9,715$5,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,661.1253040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No43c7,446$3,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,244.447549.3%37 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes52c6,705$3,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,470.0798945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No58c4,456$2,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,884.6299340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes30c3,553$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.287726%20 W · 57 L-8.9wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes58c3,423$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes26c1,783$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.110644.3%47 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Yes59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001010%1 W · 9 L-4.3wins-0.43per pick53cpaid-82.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No41c1,647$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.371,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No41c1,609$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.5477751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes32c1,229$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.761,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No43c1,070$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.3318655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5906851.5%35 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Yes57c942.35$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.144959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes57c933.16$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.2713228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Yes6c863.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Yes57c800$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4561450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c739.63$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.63,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes11c720.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4214761.2%90 W · 57 L+20.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0b94…c347backed Yes5c720$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-18.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes38c679.18$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.1544447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes28c630$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.1512343.9%54 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No43c580.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.164438.6%17 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Yes58c503.27$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.9922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick53cpaid-64.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed No55c483$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.31154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x210a…1080backed Yes25c463.62$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-81.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No64c463.25$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.2927058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No41c453.62$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.0353046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes29c444.28$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9828851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes59c432$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.8832848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes58c409.03$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.4191553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes40c404.12$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.2930444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No77c379$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.173253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59b4…73e0backed Yes25c376.81$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-48.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No42c360.2$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.922060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes59c351.85$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.7919052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b6…ddd5backed No42c330.81$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No72c305.57$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.0278344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes60c283.91$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1703740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-33.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No72c275.61$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5510960.6%66 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Yes35c267.51$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.632532%8 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503865.8%25 W · 13 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503432.4%11 W · 23 L-7.4wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-41%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No41c225.47$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.034141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc117…6ddabacked Yes43c220$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.61127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No76c216.6$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7519172.3%138 W · 53 L+36.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No40c214.23$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.5418651.6%96 W · 90 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes59c210.13$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0155750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes50c204.67$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7220849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Yes59c203.39$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203844.7%17 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x377e…fb4bbacked Yes59c193.17$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No42c173.07$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.670249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1af…c4d1backed No42c170$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No41c165.11$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.335149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes24c156.17$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0610753.3%57 W · 50 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes28c155$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6110249%50 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes23c150$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.524326.3%64 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes36c149.73$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4416657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No61c149.64$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2487154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No67c148.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8945140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No66c144$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0754949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes59c140.26$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4668550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No77c139$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9792346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d63…8302backed Yes59c136.58$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd6d…c733backed Yes57c130$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes38c125$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No42c123.7$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3580358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes58c120$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.626050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307245.8%33 W · 39 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Yes15c112.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.842860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No45c111.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2615638.5%60 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc115…9138backed Yes25c104.81$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-33.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Yes58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4aa1…f0b2backed No44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562065%13 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.25per pick40cpaid+98.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No80c93.85$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7723548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes42c87.08$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6536051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked Yes60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-41.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c59…ad51backed Yes42c82.96$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1378…681bbacked No43c81.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes58c77.59$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefa1…8a16backed Yes44c76.67$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.42958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked No66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.762572%18 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed No66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.762470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No40c73$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.88760.9%53 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0673…ed8bbacked No41c71.19$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No41c67.17$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.637456.8%42 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b9d…8f2dbacked No41c63.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No77c61.05$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0424859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No40c60$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3617751.4%91 W · 86 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5862…8af8backed Yes58c59.76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No77c56.39$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9719056.3%107 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed No41c55$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.73046.7%14 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No61c54.2$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0237249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Yes41c52.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.562842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-33%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x17f7…a181backed No42c52.38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.38742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes41c52.05$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2724920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3146…d153backed No66c50.17$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.062152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked No66c50.17$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.061353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.