Mls · resolved market
Will Los Angeles FC vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb45109c920cdadc054803452ff684bd4b62a2af0fb37a7688cbaf8f3f65fa542
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 78c | 9,070$7,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975.75 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 24c | 6,660$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.33 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 76c | 3,018$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.85 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 25c | 2,412$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.47 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 25c | 2,070$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.39 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed No | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 1,489$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.14 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 16c | 1,479$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.64 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +18.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 24c | 1,123$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.17 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Yes | 21c | 1,087$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 847.76$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.98 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 755.92$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.54 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 75c | 697.23$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.31 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 27c | 568.2$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.96 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 23c | 547$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.81 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 74c | 525.78$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 76c | 370$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 18c | 309.31$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 16c | 300$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 7c | 206.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 30c | 201.16$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69c…890ebacked Yes | 27c | 200.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 73c | 185.02$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 151.25$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 27c | 150$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…612ebacked Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 75c | 100.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 77c | 97.2$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 76c | 95.43$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 30c | 86.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 17c | 86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 25c | 79.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 76c | 67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Yes | 30c | 65.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…4e8cbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 24c | 61.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 77c | 60.48$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 76c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7a…bdb5backed No | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 75c | 31.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 21.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Los Angeles FC vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?this page
- Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-05-10?Yes won
- Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.