TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c59…ad51

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
259
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Mls at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT21545.6%98 W · 117 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 215 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KBO: LG Twins vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked Hanwha Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.3
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20.61
San Diego Padres vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$31.82
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.79
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$55.16
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.57
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.41
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Lotte Giantsbacked Lotte Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.74
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+136.9%+$136.9
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$73.25
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$119.19
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
KBO: LG Twins vs. KT Wizbacked KT Wiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Samsung Lionsbacked NC Dinos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+159.8%+$237.9
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
New York Mets vs. Seattle Marinersbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. SSG Landersbacked SSG Landers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+168%+$166.02
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+131.7%+$126.76
Showing 25 of 215 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.2
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$75.24
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)backed Jordan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$66.89
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$64.54
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.68
Spread: Japan (-1.5)backed Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$15.26
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$35.38
Spread: England (-2.5)backed Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$34.37
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.93
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)backed Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.22
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$91.57
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$43.48
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$33.76
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$23.2
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+203%+$76.3
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$28.8
Will Japan win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$62.22
Will England win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.92
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+31%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$331.34
Spread: Clippers (-14.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.93
Spread: Heat (-9.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$20.8
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.87
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Clippers (-9.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$25.85
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.91
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$21.45
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$28.64
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+91.2%+$31.91
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$36.43
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$39.47
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$32.31
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$28.64
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$39.39
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$223.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.