TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Lakers (-12.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Lakers, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,636

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,636 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd942…f9d3backed Pacers48c2,780$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.421142.7%90 W · 121 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers45c1,997$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.928,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers44c1,359$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.464,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked Lakers40c1,180$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.062259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+92.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Lakers50c1,055$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.342,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers41c925.08$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.284,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Lakers52c808.22$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.91,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Pacers52c639.98$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.2126839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Lakers39c497.69$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1944434.1%15 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers63c447.62$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.626,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Pacers49c445.87$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.131,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed Lakers37c316.08$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.959352.7%49 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Lakers52c311.2$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.821,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb628…fd2bbacked Pacers61c304.44$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.7111873.7%87 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xceed…ea2ebacked Pacers66c301.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.661566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Lakers40c252.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009139.6%36 W · 55 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Lakers41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ac8…9e67backed Pacers37c214$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.5418543.2%80 W · 105 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Pacers43c201.23$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.651,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Lakers37c196.13$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7240541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Lakers36c177.24$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6417643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pacers58c177.16$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.564,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Pacers57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4417944.1%79 W · 100 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Pacers58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4138152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e73…464fbacked Pacers59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Lakers37c135.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017342.8%74 W · 99 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f79…f7f7backed Pacers57c127.59$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.149442.6%40 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Pacers38c127.19$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2756447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Pacers35c124.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.871,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ca…2fd9backed Lakers43c124.95$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.73757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Pacers62c121.98$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8590957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dab…029dbacked Lakers37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406435.9%23 W · 41 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers36c100.22$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.624,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24cb…1f0cbacked Pacers58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid+27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fb9…afbbbacked Pacers58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424250%21 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d50…436fbacked Pacers58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425048%24 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Pacers59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416454.7%35 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pacers62c94.63$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.911,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d0…52f0backed Pacers57c89.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.292564%16 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f6f…5284backed Pacers59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.751968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Pacers59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7561056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc136…39b4backed Lakers39c82.05$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3230%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Pacers64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.131,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pacers61c74.57$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.262,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c59…ad51backed Pacers47c74.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.471668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+31%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf711…31cbbacked Pacers64c70.31$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.311275%9 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9f4…3b7abacked Lakers43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Pacers42c65.28$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.833,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x804c…7846backed Lakers40c63.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Lakers41c61$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ebb…405abacked Pacers58c60.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.346464.1%41 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Lakers38c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.829243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Pacers60c59.8$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1157250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Lakers80c57.89$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3114456.3%81 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Pacers61c57.57$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.241449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Pacers61c57.57$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.244551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x163f…c010backed Lakers63c52.67$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65fc…c072backed Pacers60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203850%19 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Lakers39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.553339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pacers58c46$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.443,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Pacers58c43.75$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3795641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Lakers77c42.44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6814338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Pacers61c40.87$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1216046.3%74 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Pacers60c40.06$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9427646.7%129 W · 147 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1063…ab93backed Pacers60c36.36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-44.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb7…d873backed Pacers57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0912245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae7a…b4f6backed Pacers58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.481442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4d0…ad4dbacked Pacers58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.481656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x143c…88b9backed Pacers60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.332552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Lakers37c32.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0627138.7%105 W · 166 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2c4…a40abacked Pacers62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.264548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Lakers65c31.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.673,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf258…e703backed Pacers64c31.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa564…7b4abacked Pacers62c31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.781855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea5d…d375backed Lakers70c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2111444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pacers45c29.01$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.863,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Pacers59c27.1$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1193145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9698…de01backed Pacers57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3226757.3%153 W · 114 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaec…eaafbacked Pacers57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3229348.5%142 W · 151 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Pacers47c24.65$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0187744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391c…ea3fbacked Pacers57c24.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.564645.7%21 W · 25 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e95…2bb7backed Pacers64c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.443735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-25.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Lakers53c23.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2590357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaee1…908abacked Pacers57c22.81$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.812437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked Lakers58c22.42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1316948.5%82 W · 87 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf33f…51dabacked Pacers58c22.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.413545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cd9…f506backed Lakers52c21.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.32040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef92…f133backed Pacers59c21.28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8312055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x333f…4da2backed Pacers57c21.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0514738.8%57 W · 90 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Pacers50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1049247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc97…44acbacked Pacers57c19.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.31241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid-16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.