NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaad060031a110dad62e0e7429f1f97165344174ee79e98a2332e474000d54474
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Lakers, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $229,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,838 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Pacers | 50c | 84,574$42,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,399.41 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 50c | 36,059$18,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,029.68 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Lakers | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Lakers | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…5847backed Lakers | 50c | 7,300$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Pacers | 67c | 6,472$4,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.27 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Lakers | 50c | 6,242$3,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,121.24 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pacers | 49c | 4,663$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,378.13 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Lakers | 50c | 4,228$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.9 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Lakers | 50c | 3,472$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa57d…611cbacked Lakers | 50c | 3,005$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Lakers | 10c | 2,866$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.47 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Lakers | 26c | 2,712$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.59 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Lakers | 1c | 2,687$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Lakers | 2c | 2,561$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 25c | 2,333$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Lakers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…8400backed Lakers | 28c | 1,963$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Pacers | 49c | 1,914$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.13 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pacers | 49c | 1,489$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.78 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed Lakers | 7c | 1,416$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.49 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Lakers | 54c | 1,305$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Lakers | 79c | 1,263$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Lakers | 50c | 1,120$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.05 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Lakers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pacers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Lakers | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Lakers | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3b…0230backed Lakers | 70c | 665.72$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.08 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f6…6d85backed Lakers | 78c | 641.26$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pacers | 38c | 576.72$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.74 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…2abfbacked Lakers | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 49c | 408.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.06 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Lakers | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…ebccbacked Lakers | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Pacers | 50c | 377.96$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.98 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers | 51c | 373$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.77 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked Lakers | 62c | 369.89$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b3…59b1backed Lakers | 37c | 341.37$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…7ee5backed Pacers | 50c | 303.58$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.79 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Lakers | 25c | 210$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…593ebacked Lakers | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +9.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +291%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Lakers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Lakers | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9309…c705backed Lakers | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4c…c962backed Lakers | 75c | 199.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Lakers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…556bbacked Lakers | 8c | 194.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Lakers | 60c | 184.57$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.11 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Lakers | 51c | 170.12$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.53 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Pacers | 43c | 152.45$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.49 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Lakers | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…6af2backed Lakers | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Lakers | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Pacers | 43c | 139.94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.39 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Pacers | 42c | 123.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.27 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Pacers | 40c | 119.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Lakers | 14c | 109$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 266 | 39.8%106 W · 160 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pacers | 28c | 102.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.91 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…cafdbacked Pacers | 39c | 101.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4827…080dbacked Lakers | 47c | 101.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…9429backed Lakers | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pacers | 36c | 99.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Pacers | 41c | 96.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Pacers | 49c | 69.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Lakers | 73c | 66.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 527 | 60%316 W · 211 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Lakers | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Pacers | 67c | 64.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pacers | 29c | 61.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pacers | 49c | 61.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Pacers | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Pacers | 49c | 55.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Pacers | 50c | 52.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Pacers | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Lakers | 65c | 47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed Lakers | 50c | 46.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…b78ebacked Lakers | 77c | 43.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Lakers | 62c | 42.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db0…e698backed Lakers | 51c | 42.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Pacers | 34c | 42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed Pacers | 61c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Pacers | 49c | 40.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Lakers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Pacers | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 234 | 41.5%97 W · 137 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…9544backed Lakers | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 303 | 58.7%178 W · 125 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Lakers | 56c | 39.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Pacers | 61c | 36.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…6a54backed Pacers | 38c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Lakers | 41c | 32.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Lakers | 80c | 30.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…664cbacked Lakers | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Pacers | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Lakers | 51c | 28.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…cd69backed Pacers | 51c | 27.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e47…32bfbacked Lakers | 76c | 24.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Pacers | 49c | 23.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Lakers | 64c | 23.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…f506backed Lakers | 50c | 22.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Lakers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fc…7cc1backed Lakers | 67c | 18.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 144 | 71.5%103 W · 41 L | +22.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Lakers won
- Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jaxson Hayes: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Lakers vs. PacersLakers won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 243.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 244.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 245.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 246.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 247.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 248.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 250.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 251.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 252.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 254.5Over won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 34.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-10.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-11.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-12.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-14.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-15.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-16.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-18.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-19.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-20.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-9.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.