TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$572,519

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $572,519 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 549 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over54c76,708$41,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,570.0743542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1439…00debacked Under47c66,666$31,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,333.021070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+35.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c40,654$18,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,955.574,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe08a…7e1ebacked Under47c32,024$15,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,051.28580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+51.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1b8…423dbacked Over53c26,592$14,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,498.24988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.36per pick53cpaid+69.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcbb2…a3bbbacked Under47c25,892$12,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,169.24771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+44.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa20b…df6ebacked Over53c25,500$13,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,985742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e2…a5f7backed Over53c21,394$11,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,055.18683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+66.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcff0…bb63backed Over53c21,013$11,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,876.111080%8 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdaa8…20a0backed Over53c20,982$11,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,861.541566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+33.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf791…f982backed Over53c20,706$10,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,731.82966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd52b…62ffbacked Over53c20,613$10,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,688.11862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1eb8…5703backed Over53c20,292$10,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,537.24875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67d9…1af1backed Under47c18,863$8,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,865.61683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+58.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41ed…06f8backed Over55c18,000$9,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,100862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfed…db6fbacked Under45c18,000$8,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,10030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ab…2a75backed Over53c17,977$9,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,449.19875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b00…3df7backed Under47c17,832$8,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,381.04771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+41.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c4d…a79ebacked Under47c17,256$8,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,110.32666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under45c16,999$7,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,691.771,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf6…64f1backed Over53c10,204$5,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,795.88757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.981,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab0…1b9cbacked Over53c9,890$5,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,648.14875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+50.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2398…8894backed Under31c9,413$2,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,882.541145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x251c…c534backed Over53c8,771$4,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,122.37966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f8c…75b8backed Over53c8,714$4,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,095.58944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under33c7,884$2,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,597.12,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x144e…eca0backed Under48c7,708$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7007451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x23d2…5f41backed Over53c5,587$2,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,625.89771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+39.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over52c5,586$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,686.0512855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under35c5,167$1,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,827.933,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc40c…8674backed Under47c5,031$2,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,364.57475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1136…9120backed Under47c4,905$2,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,305.35650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef0…7274backed Under47c4,694$2,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,206.18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7c9…2890backed Under47c4,662$2,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,191.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe028…89bfbacked Under49c4,530$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.7540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa121…2dfabacked Over53c4,414$2,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,074.58475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+45.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Over53c3,939$2,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,851.59159.3%54 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf054…1a95backed Over53c3,936$2,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.92540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under46c3,401$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.341,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over75c3,310$2,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.48,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d37…4ff0backed Under47c2,960$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Under49c2,960$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.397458.1%43 W · 31 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0303…7b84backed Under47c2,941$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.27333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1a2…e1a7backed Under47c2,861$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.67742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9a5…6053backed Under47c2,774$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x312a…424ebacked Under47c2,587$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.89425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f97…ef6bbacked Over53c2,556$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.32475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+48.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48d8…9c90backed Under47c2,531$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb18c…f71ebacked Over51c2,505$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.453100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf6…c4b5backed Under47c2,479$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.13250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3fd…3460backed Under47c2,478$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.66837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa307…4fe9backed Under47c2,443$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.2120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd779…7cf7backed Under47c2,443$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.21955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d9a…a6e8backed Under47c2,439$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa1e…964ebacked Under47c2,424$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf78c…d85cbacked Under47c2,422$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.34425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3b6…301ebacked Under47c2,408$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.761266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over53c2,394$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.966,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa1c…b447backed Under49c2,370$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Under5c2,342$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.9689444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x134b…e37fbacked Under47c2,329$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…5a2dbacked Under47c2,321$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.87250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbac9…4d57backed Under47c2,310$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf78…a9b2backed Over51c2,309$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.352100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e6…8ddabacked Under47c2,253$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.91333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23e3…3bfebacked Under47c2,232$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe499…a391backed Under47c2,210$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce93…9a7bbacked Over53c2,207$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.29977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+55.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc60…739ebacked Over53c2,202$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.94450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd85…2dcfbacked Under49c2,197$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe464…aa9abacked Under47c2,196$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71d6…2d42backed Over51c2,188$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e59…83c8backed Under47c2,185$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd906…94c2backed Under47c2,180$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04fb…487fbacked Under47c2,168$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2d0…1055backed Over53c2,168$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.96977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+52.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc99…803ebacked Under47c2,161$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.67425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-52.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce28…a7bebacked Under47c2,149$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.03633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0105…85e0backed Over53c2,132$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.044100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce27…f358backed Over53c2,119$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.93450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x740d…c9d6backed Over53c2,117$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9a…1c5dbacked Under47c2,106$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.82250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79f1…6e8dbacked Over53c2,075$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.251346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under46c2,063$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.723,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2da2…c23bbacked Under47c2,055$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under47c2,043$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec71…8ec8backed Under49c2,038$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1d3…5728backed Under47c2,035$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.45650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c2,026$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.815,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c06…9065backed Under47c2,012$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.64450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8f0…ea44backed Under49c2,010$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd67c…c25cbacked Over53c2,006$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.82580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+56.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc346…7a96backed Under47c2,003$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.41728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff6e…3800backed Under47c1,986$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.42850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb378…042dbacked Over53c1,985$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.95580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+59.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa038…d4f9backed Over51c1,980$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01a0…1c4ebacked Under47c1,934$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.98475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.