NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 240.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01eb2170d151a2136414c898dd77deeb22063f531536a384da6b4e6abf38c46f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,992 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 25,516$12,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,502.92 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 15,502$7,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,722.75 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Over | 51c | 15,134$7,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,415.66 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.99 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 52c | 9,558$4,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,612.65 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa136…ea3cbacked Over | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe028…89bfbacked Over | 51c | 4,342$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 51c | 4,118$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.65 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Over | 51c | 2,920$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.8 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 51c | 2,753$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.94 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 62c | 2,557$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.1 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 51c | 1,811$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.03 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 47c | 1,784$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.42 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 50c | 1,682$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.33 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 1,039$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.32 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Under | 36c | 1,005$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.1 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -18.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Over | 51c | 961$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.19 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Over | 51c | 867.15$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.9 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Over | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 51c | 728.63$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.6 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 19c | 650$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.25 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Over | 50c | 594.24$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.12 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 585.1$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.7 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec1…bfa6backed Over | 73c | 575$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.75 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 67c | 558.84$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.9 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb628…fd2bbacked Over | 78c | 511.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.97 | 118 | 73.7%87 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0867…c3f4backed Under | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 312.47$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.57 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Over | 60c | 299.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Under | 50c | 282.26$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.13 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 25c | 249$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b6…9823backed Over | 49c | 222.27$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.36 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 52c | 198.27$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.57 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 51c | 173.62$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.55 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4296…fca1backed Under | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 121.26$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.84 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 26c | 121.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 49c | 119.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x388b…629fbacked Under | 49c | 101.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…1480backed Over | 50c | 95.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 30c | 93.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…c2e0backed Under | 50c | 79.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Over | 80c | 73.37$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 48c | 66.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…1c1dbacked Under | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 51c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…6a54backed Under | 28c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Under | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 52c | 33.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 58c | 31.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 49c | 30.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 50c | 30.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 80c | 29.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…e52cbacked Under | 51c | 21.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5957…6437backed Over | 51c | 20.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 240.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Lakers won
- Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jaxson Hayes: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Lakers vs. PacersLakers won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 243.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 244.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 245.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 246.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 247.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 248.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 250.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 251.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 252.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 254.5Over won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 34.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-10.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-11.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-12.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-14.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-15.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-16.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-18.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-19.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-20.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-8.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-9.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.