NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 238.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d6ef58db21fbee18bd5a1f60d2264b467854697abc087659fb995e726482dbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,760 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 51c | 76,147$38,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,173.75 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 40,264$19,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,710.23 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 31,177$14,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,960.15 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac8…fc96backed Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…63b1backed Under | 49c | 3,922$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…4331backed Over | 52c | 3,438$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f86…d6d1backed Under | 49c | 2,912$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…3ee3backed Under | 50c | 2,905$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…3289backed Under | 49c | 2,897$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ef…84c9backed Under | 49c | 2,824$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a9…7abdbacked Over | 50c | 2,777$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a19…3de7backed Over | 51c | 2,770$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…5d26backed Over | 50c | 2,693$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec2f…0e68backed Under | 49c | 2,685$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db9…50afbacked Over | 51c | 2,605$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf78…fc41backed Over | 51c | 2,594$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…9ac7backed Under | 49c | 2,589$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…3165backed Under | 50c | 2,586$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.06 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b7…5127backed Under | 49c | 2,543$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd675…b924backed Under | 49c | 2,478$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…659fbacked Under | 49c | 2,379$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1dc…8ab3backed Over | 50c | 2,371$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa7…348abacked Over | 51c | 2,366$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…1c44backed Over | 51c | 2,330$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7526…7eb6backed Under | 50c | 2,297$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c6…244abacked Over | 51c | 2,263$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…72f1backed Over | 51c | 2,135$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf537…ed00backed Under | 50c | 2,135$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…2f02backed Over | 51c | 2,133$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fc…013fbacked Over | 51c | 2,086$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…69f4backed Under | 50c | 2,037$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 50c | 1,991$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.46 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b0…ad06backed Over | 51c | 1,964$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…5613backed Over | 51c | 1,935$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef10…b257backed Over | 51c | 1,858$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…a602backed Over | 51c | 1,835$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74bf…f6a1backed Over | 50c | 1,828$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8319…1a76backed Under | 49c | 1,789$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Under | 49c | 1,751$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.23 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f3…d624backed Over | 51c | 1,711$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…4546backed Under | 49c | 1,669$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 50c | 1,650$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…e68ebacked Over | 51c | 1,597$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…7a20backed Over | 51c | 1,567$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…79c8backed Under | 49c | 1,453$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf61…0ea2backed Under | 49c | 1,426$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x260b…f74abacked Under | 50c | 1,397$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2d…c7e4backed Under | 49c | 1,376$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605b…e899backed Under | 49c | 1,345$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…1ba3backed Under | 50c | 1,340$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f88…62a4backed Under | 49c | 1,321$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 1,216$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.45 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f69…7e72backed Under | 49c | 1,202$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 1,182$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Over | 54c | 1,175$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.5 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc778…0f13backed Under | 49c | 1,096$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…6230backed Over | 51c | 1,082$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 51c | 1,059$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.9 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 1,047$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.06 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…a418backed Under | 49c | 1,030$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d5…00ffbacked Over | 51c | 1,011$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…b8c0backed Over | 51c | 1,007$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -18.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 50c | 994.14$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.07 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 801.82$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.23 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 48c | 684$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.24 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 682.6$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.37 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 51c | 625$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.25 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b02…0aacbacked Over | 50c | 607$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Under | 48c | 535$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.8 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 529.99$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.68 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 47c | 507.48$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.52 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 501.11$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.19 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0867…c3f4backed Under | 4c | 499.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Over | 50c | 466$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Under | 49c | 408.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.36 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 49c | 408$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.08 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 50c | 398$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 52c | 394.96$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.58 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 75c | 381.67$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.27 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 48c | 304.54$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.85 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x918d…1462backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 52c | 296.16$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.22 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 50c | 289.15$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.87 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Over | 51c | 256.34$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.33 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 48c | 210.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a2…0020backed Under | 48c | 206.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Under | 43c | 199.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Over | 53c | 192.16$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.32 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 30c | 183$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 51c | 173.12$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.18 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…2071backed Over | 49c | 173$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…5e08backed Under | 50c | 158$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 51c | 156$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 52c | 149.17$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…f7f7backed Over | 50c | 148.17$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.82 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…4d74backed Under | 51c | 145.1$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 238.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Lakers won
- Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jaxson Hayes: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Lakers vs. PacersLakers won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 243.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 244.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 245.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 246.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 247.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 248.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 250.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 251.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 252.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 254.5Over won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 34.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-10.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-11.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-12.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-14.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-15.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-16.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-18.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-19.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-20.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-8.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-9.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.