TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 239.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,623

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,623 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over49c28,254$13,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,466.6143542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under49c25,000$12,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,249.981,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c17,163$8,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,674.94,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe0c…04b6backed Under58c12,083$7,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,005.413534.3%12 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c8,142$4,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0711,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c7,861$3,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,931.61,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Over51c5,882$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.3526648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76e0…a0ccbacked Over51c5,882$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.351040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Over48c4,100$1,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,131.9628554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Over51c3,722$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.3116640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c3,197$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.062,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over41c2,908$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.685,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f36…cc23backed Under51c2,797$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over51c2,693$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.7230446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb66c…90c8backed Under51c2,687$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over51c2,600$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.9935749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff91…a0acbacked Over49c2,597$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.472100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c2,589$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.616,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Over51c2,547$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.0718749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf2…632abacked Over49c2,431$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.81250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Over51c2,327$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.115754.4%31 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x016d…5272backed Under51c2,303$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c2,264$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.874,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26c0…0b2ebacked Over49c2,187$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.37250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Over51c2,072$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.1614940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c2,070$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.741,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Under52c2,069$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.0416844%74 W · 94 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.1387049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.788647.7%41 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1016…9422backed Over49c1,941$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53c1…7debbacked Under51c1,908$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Under55c1,821$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008756.3%49 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under53c1,700$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89414338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x26cd…ffe2backed Over49c1,678$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.783100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over40c1,500$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89579650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Under52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.9914946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Over50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70018842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd7…8131backed Under52c1,348$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-37.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x384b…a056backed Under51c1,340$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.4450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82c6…344abacked Over49c1,298$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over48c1,109$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.887453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c9e…2374backed Under51c1,097$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Under50c1,093$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.5921049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under53c1,077$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.0834854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0867…c3f4backed Under3c1,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520644.7%92 W · 114 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c951.41$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.553,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over52c884.62$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.6223850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40884342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under53c731.83$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.5584150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over51c726.08$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.781,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Under55c545.73$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Under49c412.24$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20226745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over76c365.82$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.6665872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x003d…56b3backed Over54c340.8$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.81361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under50c318.36$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1889048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over46c315.68$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.9178648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Under49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12016159.6%96 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Over49c281.65$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.2816642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ec1…bfa6backed Over75c275$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.754266.7%28 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under25c275$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.751,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Under50c270$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13533251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under48c261.89$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0268645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under51c250.27$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.645,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.835849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9625846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf879…820ebacked Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011833.9%40 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over49c181.72$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.681,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under50c173.8$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.967248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under48c168.37$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.822,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf4…66bbbacked Under54c163.91$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.515538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-27.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under54c160.87$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8787750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Over50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8024849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over44c159$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.042,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22a2…f1b4backed Over47c135$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over53c132.08$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0866046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Over46c129$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6613448.5%65 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff7f…bb30backed Over46c129$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.664637%17 W · 29 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over48c126$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5277549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under52c122$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.441,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x641f…049abacked Under52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6018054.4%98 W · 82 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x461b…30ddbacked Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504233.3%14 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-32.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf89f…32b0backed Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505042%21 W · 29 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5097049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5095548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f79…f7f7backed Over47c99.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.599442.6%40 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under51c99.67$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.832,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa380…55e3backed Under51c97.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504630.4%14 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5914649.3%72 W · 74 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10fb…29bfbacked Under54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under51c91.33$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.191,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x514e…a604backed Under55c91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.059551.6%49 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under34c83.32$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.331,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Under47c82.02$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5538853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under30c81.8$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.431,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Under51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x18d5…2bb6backed Under47c74.28$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356250%31 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18cb…6f13backed Under54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Over48c70.97$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9826450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.