NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37e55389468d891e2609c493ce9832bd07e03775f063a346722c1c6dad4dbb9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,992,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,992,506 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 653 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Lakers | 80c | 218,991$174,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,438.02 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Pacers | 22c | 205,971$45,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,313.62 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Pacers | 20c | 190,730$37,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,609.39 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Lakers | 78c | 154,000$120,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,840 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…1270backed Pacers | 0c | 135,207$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.9 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Pacers | 22c | 110,000$24,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,199.92 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x893b…a860backed Pacers | 3c | 105,786$2,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.99 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Pacers | 22c | 99,925$21,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,983.44 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pacers | 0c | 92,140$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.62 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Pacers | 18c | 90,578$16,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,468.63 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 79c | 66,473$52,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,956.53 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers | 18c | 55,000$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,900 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Pacers | 18c | 50,255$9,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,295.74 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Pacers | 0c | 47,264$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.26 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pacers | 18c | 46,592$8,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,386.61 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Lakers | 78c | 30,000$23,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Pacers | 0c | 27,051$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 79c | 25,327$19,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,336.9 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Pacers | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Pacers | 20c | 24,450$4,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,890 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pacers | 0c | 20,848$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Pacers | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Pacers | 16c | 20,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.93 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Pacers | 12c | 19,798$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.73 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Lakers | 80c | 19,646$15,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,010.96 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pacers | 6c | 19,120$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.53 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Pacers | 0c | 18,055$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Pacers | 14c | 17,131$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.59 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Pacers | 18c | 17,118$3,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,081.3 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22e9…8dd0backed Lakers | 79c | 16,935$13,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,556.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Pacers | 17c | 15,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.99 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…6fc4backed Pacers | 17c | 13,003$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.51 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -75%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Lakers | 78c | 13,000$10,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Lakers | 78c | 12,821$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.51 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed Pacers | 1c | 12,735$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.88 | 341 | 36.1%123 W · 218 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pacers | 15c | 12,449$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.96 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pacers | 1c | 12,390$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Pacers | 16c | 12,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa84…e95cbacked Pacers | 0c | 11,832$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Pacers | 6c | 11,778$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.56 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Pacers | 0c | 11,239$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 123 | 4.9%6 W · 117 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Pacers | 17c | 11,159$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 221 | 59.7%132 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ce…079fbacked Pacers | 17c | 10,700$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Pacers | 15c | 10,387$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.92 | 238 | 33.2%79 W · 159 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked Lakers | 80c | 10,208$8,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.5 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Pacers | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…24cabacked Pacers | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc48…7294backed Pacers | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…b8babacked Lakers | 79c | 10,000$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…2227backed Lakers | 78c | 10,000$7,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.95 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Pacers | 23c | 8,696$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Lakers | 77c | 8,565$6,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.05 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pacers | 19c | 7,839$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.34 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Pacers | 15c | 7,423$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.03 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…fbbbbacked Lakers | 78c | 7,385$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.62 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Pacers | 19c | 7,035$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.43 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3497…812bbacked Lakers | 80c | 6,951$5,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Lakers | 78c | 6,523$5,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.96 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3c…e044backed Pacers | 1c | 6,400$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Pacers | 0c | 6,340$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Pacers | 1c | 6,291$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers | 18c | 6,254$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.52 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 9c | 6,130$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.8 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…448fbacked Pacers | 17c | 6,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Pacers | 20c | 5,929$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.89 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Pacers | 18c | 5,704$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.45 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f07…f1bcbacked Pacers | 21c | 5,593$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.53 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Pacers | 18c | 5,534$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.09 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…cd02backed Pacers | 12c | 5,518$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.9 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Pacers | 22c | 5,500$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.99 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Pacers | 21c | 5,491$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.14 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Pacers | 18c | 5,425$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.42 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Lakers | 78c | 5,126$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.64 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Lakers | 79c | 5,063$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.29 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Lakers | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…60ddbacked Lakers | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97b…388dbacked Pacers | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Lakers | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pacers | 6c | 5,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…043fbacked Lakers | 78c | 4,943$3,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.54 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…5250backed Pacers | 16c | 4,909$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.5 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pacers | 7c | 4,840$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.83 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Lakers | 77c | 4,600$3,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc20b…2fb8backed Pacers | 15c | 4,500$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.5 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Lakers | 78c | 4,490$3,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.8 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pacers | 11c | 4,235$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.6 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…c6efbacked Lakers | 79c | 4,214$3,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.03 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers | 20c | 4,100$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Pacers | 0c | 4,040$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Pacers | 22c | 4,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8150…e7f1backed Pacers | 15c | 3,980$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.2 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6e…2a01backed Lakers | 78c | 3,692$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.31 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Pacers | 12c | 3,589$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.62 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d22…1807backed Pacers | 10c | 3,549$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Pacers | 16c | 3,460$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.6 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Pacers | 23c | 3,444$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.23 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…22fdbacked Pacers | 17c | 3,400$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed6c…3fdfbacked Pacers | 12c | 3,300$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pacers | 13c | 3,132$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.14 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Pacers | 17c | 3,119$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.73 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Pacersthis page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Lakers won
- Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jaxson Hayes: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 243.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 244.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 245.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 246.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 247.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 248.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 250.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 251.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 252.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 254.5Over won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 34.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-10.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-11.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-12.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-14.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-15.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-16.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-18.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-19.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-20.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-8.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-9.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.