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NBA · resolved market

Spread: Lakers (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Lakers, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,134

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,134 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd106…c79cbacked Pacers57c10,028$5,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,323.794,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Pacers52c7,272$3,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,520.441,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Lakers52c5,502$2,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,840.062,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lakers46c5,422$2,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,487.058,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers46c5,073$2,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,309.226,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers45c2,974$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.094,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Lakers47c2,627$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.6911543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Pacers54c2,513$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.971,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Lakers45c2,299$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.142,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers52c2,288$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.324,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers41c2,169$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.24,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Lakers47c2,136$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.921,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Pacers52c2,106$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.891,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Pacers59c1,950$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.4964651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers55c1,388$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.771,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Pacers53c1,332$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.0476249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Pacers53c1,058$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.469149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Pacers54c1,054$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.7322948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Lakers45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Pacers55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93e7…cc0cbacked Pacers54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4606352.4%33 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Pacers55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45026149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Lakers50c987.18$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.293,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Pacers56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8650954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Pacers59c868.05$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.2326337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Lakers45c868$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.61,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Pacers57c863.9$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.2926839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1690…8c4dbacked Pacers62c701.61$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.617064.3%45 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Lakers73c646.92$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.182,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Pacers32c518.69$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.71,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Pacers53c508.62$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.0515349%75 W · 78 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Lakers45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22562539.4%246 W · 379 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Lakers39c461$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.792,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Lakers44c404$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.7645151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Lakers41c358.28$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.753,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Lakers40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pacers52c273$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.042,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Lakers45c267.43$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.672,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf836…f39cbacked Pacers53c264$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.0827059.6%161 W · 109 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Lakers43c261.47$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.432,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pacers37c255$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.152,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Pacers20c251.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.7265542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Pacers54c246.68$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.4792058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Lakers46c217.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Lakers47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10051647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab76…9a7fbacked Lakers47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Pacers37c208.43$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.193,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Pacers55c202.88$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.380653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Lakers46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9253339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Pacers54c191.22$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1687049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9608…2cefbacked Lakers46c185$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ebe…5827backed Lakers46c185$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c05…b077backed Lakers47c169$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Pacers30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6745542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc61…83d8backed Lakers46c161$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Pacers32c150$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10223435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Lakers42c150$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6313448.5%65 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…25c0backed Lakers44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Lakers46c142.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7741449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Lakers41c142.33$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0929344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7756…d3e1backed Lakers46c142$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.48757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x062c…a323backed Lakers46c138$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7da2…166cbacked Lakers46c137$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.02475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+58.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Pacers30c133.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.3327138.7%105 W · 166 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Lakers49c130.69$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.231,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abd…6865backed Lakers46c129$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.34616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-71.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Pacers36c121.93$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.41,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Lakers52c118.17$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.351,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Lakers41c116$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.428740.2%35 W · 52 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf879…820ebacked Pacers34c113.09$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6411833.9%40 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8c6…9211backed Pacers39c112.72$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7614847.3%70 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1629…8510backed Pacers54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1110249%50 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c67…a0e0backed Lakers46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029646.6%138 W · 158 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2363…1ac3backed Lakers47c107$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.295855.2%32 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dab…029dbacked Lakers47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506435.9%23 W · 41 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Lakers47c104.77$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2425049.6%124 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pacers49c101.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.715,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Pacers54c101.26$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.031,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Lakers46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4613843.5%60 W · 78 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Pacers42c95.78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6842153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Pacers55c95.29$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9589853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd22…9309backed Pacers54c89$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dcf…87b8backed Lakers78c80$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.41540%6 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9898…0034backed Pacers55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc63a…26a0backed Pacers55c79.42$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.744845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f32…ab75backed Lakers41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308156.8%46 W · 35 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a3e…1e4abacked Pacers23c69.17$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.13033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f3e…5278backed Pacers55c66$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d00…95b2backed Pacers52c64.05$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.911566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc036…3b45backed Pacers54c64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Pacers54c63.41$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3796956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Lakers46c62.96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.287744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Lakers45c62.73$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.483,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Pacers56c62.48$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4915649.4%77 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Lakers72c62$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.641,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Lakers40c60.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2122454.5%122 W · 102 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df8…f0edbacked Pacers54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb9f…be69backed Pacers54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick51cpaid+68.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa146…1d57backed Lakers77c58.7$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452070%14 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e03…ea8bbacked Pacers56c58.63$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.791758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.