NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c649b81a708afe1c83348f424b435a66f05f36f0eca721a909e1a0ba6573925
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Lakers, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,134 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pacers | 57c | 10,028$5,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,323.79 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pacers | 52c | 7,272$3,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520.44 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lakers | 52c | 5,502$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840.06 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 46c | 5,422$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487.05 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 46c | 5,073$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.22 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 45c | 2,974$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.09 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Lakers | 47c | 2,627$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.69 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Pacers | 54c | 2,513$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.97 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Lakers | 45c | 2,299$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.14 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers | 52c | 2,288$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.32 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers | 41c | 2,169$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.2 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Lakers | 47c | 2,136$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.92 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pacers | 52c | 2,106$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.89 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pacers | 59c | 1,950$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.49 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers | 55c | 1,388$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.77 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pacers | 53c | 1,332$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.04 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Pacers | 53c | 1,058$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.4 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Pacers | 54c | 1,054$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.73 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Lakers | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Pacers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93e7…cc0cbacked Pacers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Pacers | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lakers | 50c | 987.18$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.29 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Pacers | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Pacers | 59c | 868.05$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.23 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Lakers | 45c | 868$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.6 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Pacers | 57c | 863.9$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.29 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…8c4dbacked Pacers | 62c | 701.61$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.61 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Lakers | 73c | 646.92$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.18 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Pacers | 32c | 518.69$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.7 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Pacers | 53c | 508.62$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.05 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Lakers | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lakers | 39c | 461$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.79 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Lakers | 44c | 404$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.76 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lakers | 41c | 358.28$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.75 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Lakers | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pacers | 52c | 273$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.04 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Lakers | 45c | 267.43$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.67 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…f39cbacked Pacers | 53c | 264$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.08 | 270 | 59.6%161 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lakers | 43c | 261.47$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.43 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pacers | 37c | 255$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.15 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Pacers | 20c | 251.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.72 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Pacers | 54c | 246.68$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.47 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Lakers | 46c | 217.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Lakers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab76…9a7fbacked Lakers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pacers | 37c | 208.43$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.19 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Pacers | 55c | 202.88$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.3 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Lakers | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Pacers | 54c | 191.22$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.16 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9608…2cefbacked Lakers | 46c | 185$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebe…5827backed Lakers | 46c | 185$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c05…b077backed Lakers | 47c | 169$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Pacers | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc61…83d8backed Lakers | 46c | 161$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Pacers | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Lakers | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed Lakers | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Lakers | 46c | 142.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.77 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Lakers | 41c | 142.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d3e1backed Lakers | 46c | 142$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x062c…a323backed Lakers | 46c | 138$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da2…166cbacked Lakers | 46c | 137$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Pacers | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Lakers | 49c | 130.69$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.23 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abd…6865backed Lakers | 46c | 129$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pacers | 36c | 121.93$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Lakers | 52c | 118.17$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.35 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Lakers | 41c | 116$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked Pacers | 34c | 113.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.64 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Pacers | 39c | 112.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.76 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1629…8510backed Pacers | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Lakers | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 296 | 46.6%138 W · 158 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…1ac3backed Lakers | 47c | 107$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…029dbacked Lakers | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Lakers | 47c | 104.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 250 | 49.6%124 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pacers | 49c | 101.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Pacers | 54c | 101.26$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Lakers | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Pacers | 42c | 95.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Pacers | 55c | 95.29$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9309backed Pacers | 54c | 89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dcf…87b8backed Lakers | 78c | 80$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9898…0034backed Pacers | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed Pacers | 55c | 79.42$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f32…ab75backed Lakers | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…1e4abacked Pacers | 23c | 69.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3e…5278backed Pacers | 55c | 66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d00…95b2backed Pacers | 52c | 64.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…3b45backed Pacers | 54c | 64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Pacers | 54c | 63.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Lakers | 46c | 62.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lakers | 45c | 62.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Pacers | 56c | 62.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Lakers | 72c | 62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Lakers | 40c | 60.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df8…f0edbacked Pacers | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9f…be69backed Pacers | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…1d57backed Lakers | 77c | 58.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e03…ea8bbacked Pacers | 56c | 58.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Lakers won
- Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jaxson Hayes: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Lakers vs. PacersLakers won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 243.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 244.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 245.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 246.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 247.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 248.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 250.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 251.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 252.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 254.5Over won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 34.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-10.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-12.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-14.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-15.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-16.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-18.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-19.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-20.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-8.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Lakers (-9.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.