TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Lakers (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Lakers, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,671

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,671 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Pacers51c53,405$27,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,176.451,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76e0…a0ccbacked Lakers49c18,367$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0001040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Lakers47c12,000$5,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,636.441,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Pacers53c12,000$6,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,639.999159.3%54 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pacers51c8,732$4,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,293.044,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8df8…8b3dbacked Lakers49c8,178$4,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,007475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+61.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x144e…eca0backed Lakers49c7,694$3,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7707451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Lakers49c7,509$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,70016249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Lakers49c6,123$3,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,020.0921943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lakers48c4,125$1,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,994.358,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Lakers49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Lakers49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47035749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Lakers49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2255547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Lakers46c2,462$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.452441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid0%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Lakers49c2,262$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.1814940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Pacers51c2,202$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.081,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pacers50c2,112$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.13,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Lakers49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Pacers53c1,700$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79964651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers49c1,612$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.534,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Pacers51c1,600$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.9917052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf288…3c08backed Lakers47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa57d…611cbacked Lakers50c1,024$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5122055%11 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Pacers54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.9972241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Lakers67c999.98$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.9914338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Pacers51c899.99$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44110251%52 W · 50 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe900…14cdbacked Lakers50c671.46$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3352277.3%17 W · 5 L+6.1wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+54.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Lakers54c648.15$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35026048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Pacers55c560$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25226553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Pacers56c536.43$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.4321950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Lakers44c514.3$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.291,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers55c482.12$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.956,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Lakers54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Lakers48c260.87$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8689048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Lakers50c248$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12412152.9%64 W · 57 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12af…ff78backed Pacers49c243.33$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.13447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661f…098abacked Pacers50c224$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1125655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Lakers47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028536.8%105 W · 180 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Lakers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Pacers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Lakers48c199.86$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9330544.6%136 W · 169 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Lakers52c191.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Lakers65c182.98$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.321,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Lakers51c159.94$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5759144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff7f…bb30backed Lakers49c149.93$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.464637%17 W · 29 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc9c5…6394backed Lakers47c147.74$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.443447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pacers52c145.3$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.713,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Pacers46c122.51$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.151,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Lakers46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5097049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Pacers36c108.53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.021,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ba…67e9backed Lakers53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532751.9%14 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x838a…0815backed Pacers53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475954.2%32 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88ff…78aebacked Lakers53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505337.7%20 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f04…cafdbacked Pacers45c88.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.54560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+44.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bf7…7ac1backed Lakers47c84.55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Lakers48c80.83$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.867248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Pacers52c77.83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3787453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb920…0ee7backed Lakers53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Lakers46c67.47$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8557250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Lakers48c61.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5655347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Pacers52c59.62$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.621,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0148…b61cbacked Pacers52c57.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1312658.7%74 W · 52 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Lakers48c56.56$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9760945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Pacers47c55.75$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.271,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39d…a06dbacked Pacers54c53.7$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.74856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ee3…a899backed Lakers49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Pacers49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.52642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Pacers52c48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.041,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pacers46c47.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.052,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Lakers46c43.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9539943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Pacers52c41.94$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3126450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Pacers51c39.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.696956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Pacers39c36.21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.053,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Lakers50c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.520144.8%90 W · 111 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Lakers49c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0838853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers50c31.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.964,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18d5…2bb6backed Lakers54c31.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176250%31 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Lakers48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Lakers51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513554.8%74 W · 61 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x833c…0619backed Pacers52c29.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.981384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.2wins+0.33per pick52cpaid+64%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Pacers52c26.26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.62,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1508…5760backed Pacers52c23.55$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.33548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Pacers51c23.3$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.321,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Lakers48c22.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9781349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Lakers49c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2913448.5%65 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Lakers65c20.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5410042%42 W · 58 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1fc…7cc1backed Lakers60c19.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5114471.5%103 W · 41 L+22.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Pacers53c18.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8723453%124 W · 110 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.