TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x388b…629f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: La Liga, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 52 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.92
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$745.25
Spread: Thunder (-18.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
Raptors vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$27.98
Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
Nets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.5
Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$49.75
Wizards vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.1
Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$49.75
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.09
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+128.4%+$22.68
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.5
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.32
Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.41
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.32
Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+95.9%+$47.69
Spread: Warriors (-1.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
All 25 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$17.7
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group Bbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.33
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs paiN Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.1
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffsbacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.1
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$18.03
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+95.3%+$39.49
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+183%+$41.98
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+103.2%+$41.27
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.77
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Game Hunters (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Playoffsbacked Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.4
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #3 Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.22
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Phantom (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #3 Playoffsbacked ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.98
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$309.09
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$240.77
Will Georgia win on 2026-03-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$49.75
Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.99
Will Greece win on 2026-03-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.38
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.03
Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.38
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
Will Lithuania win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid-23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-65.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$12.95
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Yasmine Kabbajbacked Jil Teichmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+52%+$5.44
Naples: Hamad Medjedovic vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.68
Will FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$11.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.