TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$332,491

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,491 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under52c127,112$65,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,972.7243542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c77,475$37,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,2594,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under52c67,254$34,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,929.0660351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over48c55,182$26,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,694.511,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c48,696$23,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,321.751,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c27,246$12,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,252.934,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under52c18,677$9,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,711.981,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c14,504$6,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,609.696,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Over48c9,987$4,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,192.9824045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under51c8,600$4,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,386.0329055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Over48c7,700$3,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00440350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c7,621$3,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,014.772,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Under52c6,642$3,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,453.6412945.7%59 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over48c6,272$3,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,261.4495651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43ea…57d4backed Over48c5,855$2,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,044.83757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under52c5,263$2,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,736.991,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under52c5,150$2,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,678.071,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over47c4,466$2,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,367.018,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c4,000$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0604,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Under52c3,322$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.4327455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01de…8485backed Under51c2,891$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda21…2f51backed Under51c2,824$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d57…84f9backed Over53c2,800$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over47c2,600$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3781,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over48c2,513$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.661,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d64…3eddbacked Over49c2,421$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.71250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d2…59b5backed Over49c2,317$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Under52c2,159$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.6422948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over48c2,104$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.4270246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f4…c48fbacked Over49c2,033$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.655147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x231c…d739backed Under51c2,018$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Over47c2,013$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.6627241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Over47c2,008$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.2425049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe238…d068backed Over49c2,004$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.542100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94e6…dcafbacked Under51c1,887$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fab…2fd8backed Under51c1,884$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.8420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x561a…e55cbacked Over49c1,800$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c1,730$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.162,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under52c1,614$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.0415353.6%82 W · 71 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c1,510$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.791,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Under58c1,331$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.6420963.2%132 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29da…8ba5backed Over49c1,244$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.44837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-41.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93a5…8855backed Over49c1,202$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.02757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6066…24d9backed Under51c1,191$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.4120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x317c…f01dbacked Over49c1,119$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.69250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over54c1,044$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.792,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Over49c1,021$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.7118345.4%83 W · 100 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over49c1,001$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.614251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over48c915.53$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.0819958.3%116 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over46c860.29$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.32,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over50c860$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43023850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed Over49c845.49$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.495745.6%26 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf303…5847backed Over49c824.49$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.493237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Over49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.3318842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x515f…7e7fbacked Over49c729.71$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.154639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Over48c696.35$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.136351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Under53c659.38$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.0530453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c595.63$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.663,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Under69c541.72$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37225657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under53c510.15$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.3892058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under53c503.7$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.7957650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Over47c499.98$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.9921049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under54c496.83$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.9589853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Over48c488.1$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.8123256.9%132 W · 100 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over27c476.92$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.311,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Under52c472$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.4422552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over48c460.36$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.1316139.8%64 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under54c435$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.3626756.2%150 W · 117 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Under73c400$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29216159.6%96 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2009346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over46c399.65$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.8168645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over24c343.05$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.2127937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14719435.1%68 W · 126 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Under54c298.57$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.9848751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Over46c282$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.2811451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under52c270.76$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.0191746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Under53c226.68$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.7631354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Under51c199.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9925550.2%128 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Under52c192.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9919054.7%104 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3d8…c0f2backed Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007346.6%34 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over45c187.33$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.543,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Under53c181$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8814452.1%75 W · 69 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Over44c171.98$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3115543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over48c150.15$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.081,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over24c149.05$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.261,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over47c149$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.972,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over48c145.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8366046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Under52c145$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.429352.9%155 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under76c137.64$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6131354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72f0…e92bbacked Under53c127.89$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.768558.8%50 W · 35 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over49c120.83$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6255347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Under52c116.5$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5830654.6%167 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under52c109.98$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.671,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x388b…629fbacked Over47c105.85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.12548%12 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over48c105.52$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8714347.6%68 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over44c101.19$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.191,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.