TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Jazz (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wizardsof Jazz, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$297,372

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,372 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Jazz47c82,594$38,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,711.3787451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Jazz48c60,000$28,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,80023147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards52c57,607$29,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,615.831,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards53c54,886$28,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,968.754,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Wizards53c22,796$12,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,713.9866248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Jazz48c20,887$9,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,956.751,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Wizards52c18,436$9,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,854.411,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz48c10,581$5,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,078.364,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Wizards51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.961,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Wizards52c7,853$4,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,781.911,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards54c7,632$4,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,539.464,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Wizards50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Jazz48c4,215$2,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,023.2136351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Jazz49c3,539$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,729.553,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Wizards54c3,226$1,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.9315850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Wizards52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Jazz48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4401,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Jazz50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50022752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Jazz46c2,500$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1501,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Jazz46c2,200$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0121,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Wizards52c2,100$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.391,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Jazz46c2,019$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.5522643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Wizards50c2,001$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.3172241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Jazz49c1,700$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83317052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Wizards54c1,666$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.362,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Jazz48c1,651$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.482,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz46c1,510$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.726,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Wizards51c1,503$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.8469149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz49c1,492$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.442,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz43c1,482$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.878,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Jazz48c1,452$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69717344.5%77 W · 96 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Jazz46c1,316$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.6124744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Jazz50c1,230$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61510251%52 W · 50 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Jazz46c1,070$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.220537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99a7…87b6backed Jazz50c1,001$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005050%25 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed Wizards54c939.83$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.335745.6%26 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Wizards55c909.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0714251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wizards54c877.1$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.472,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Jazz49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3927850%39 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Jazz46c648$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.081,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards53c631.33$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.772,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Jazz46c543$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.7815240.8%62 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Jazz49c533.63$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.593,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Wizards54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2302,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa070…1af3backed Jazz49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2453745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Jazz46c450.5$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.2340146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Jazz46c427$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.421,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Jazz46c427$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.4256447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Jazz50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Jazz45c394.54$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.549346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Wizards54c326$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9656843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Jazz50c320$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16024849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Jazz47c298.01$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Jazz46c262.65$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.031,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Jazz48c248.38$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2289853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Jazz49c228.57$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11276552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Wizards59c210.83$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.161,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Jazz48c203.97$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9128852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Wizards50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10010955%60 W · 49 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Wizards55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9061957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Jazz48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9618143.1%78 W · 103 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85a7…d9f3backed Wizards51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0813345.9%61 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Wizards54c194$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.242,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Jazz51c183.69$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6814155.3%78 W · 63 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Jazz48c175.12$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8449249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Jazz48c170.86$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8391746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Jazz46c170.78$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5650948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Jazz49c164$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3613148.9%64 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Jazz47c160$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.229352.9%155 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Jazz48c160$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.81,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Wizards52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7218744.4%83 W · 104 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Jazz50c145.81$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.680653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec38…ca10backed Wizards53c134$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9811050.9%56 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf25…636dbacked Jazz49c117.83$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.743855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Jazz47c114.51$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.860945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Wizards54c114.19$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5329344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Jazz46c113.39$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1662541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3da3…c75fbacked Jazz48c110.75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.165034%17 W · 33 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Jazz47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf89f…32b0backed Jazz48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505042%21 W · 29 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8698…871fbacked Jazz48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Jazz47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4723435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ba…67e9backed Jazz50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502751.9%14 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x838a…0815backed Jazz49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495954.2%32 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x727d…c2e0backed Wizards52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486648.5%32 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f79…f7f7backed Jazz49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499442.6%40 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebfd…ad3dbacked Wizards52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481283.3%10 W · 2 L+4.2wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+72.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Jazz51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Jazz49c93.88$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4645651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfab0…e0f5backed Wizards52c93.75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458658.1%50 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Wizards55c93.27$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9742352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbdd…9ba3backed Wizards55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.911258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f16…b5b9backed Wizards53c84.9$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.99938.4%38 W · 61 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1230…8e43backed Jazz48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408442.9%36 W · 48 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Jazz49c82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1862049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Jazz49c80.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8826450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Jazz50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4028056.4%158 W · 122 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb920…0ee7backed Jazz50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf48e…1e01backed Jazz46c74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0410444.2%46 W · 58 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Jazz45c70.36$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.661,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.