NBA · resolved market
Spread: Jazz (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a4b782da4c6ffda5f60ce45eee8c0fc18fe139af66fde63e7be8daf3227c119
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Jazz, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $297,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,372 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Jazz | 47c | 82,594$38,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,711.37 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Jazz | 48c | 60,000$28,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,800 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards | 52c | 57,607$29,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,615.83 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards | 53c | 54,886$28,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,968.75 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Wizards | 53c | 22,796$12,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,713.98 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Jazz | 48c | 20,887$9,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,956.75 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Wizards | 52c | 18,436$9,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,854.41 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz | 48c | 10,581$5,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,078.36 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Wizards | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.96 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Wizards | 52c | 7,853$4,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,781.91 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 54c | 7,632$4,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,539.46 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Wizards | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Jazz | 48c | 4,215$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.21 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Jazz | 49c | 3,539$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.55 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Wizards | 54c | 3,226$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.93 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Wizards | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Jazz | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Jazz | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Jazz | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Jazz | 46c | 2,200$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Wizards | 52c | 2,100$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.39 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Jazz | 46c | 2,019$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.55 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Wizards | 50c | 2,001$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.31 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Jazz | 49c | 1,700$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Wizards | 54c | 1,666$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.36 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Jazz | 48c | 1,651$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.48 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz | 46c | 1,510$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.72 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Wizards | 51c | 1,503$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.84 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Jazz | 49c | 1,492$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.44 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jazz | 43c | 1,482$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.87 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Jazz | 48c | 1,452$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Jazz | 46c | 1,316$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.61 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Jazz | 50c | 1,230$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Jazz | 46c | 1,070$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.2 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…87b6backed Jazz | 50c | 1,001$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Wizards | 54c | 939.83$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.33 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Wizards | 55c | 909.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.07 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wizards | 54c | 877.1$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.47 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed Jazz | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Jazz | 46c | 648$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.08 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards | 53c | 631.33$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.77 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Jazz | 46c | 543$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.78 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jazz | 49c | 533.63$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.59 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Wizards | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed Jazz | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Jazz | 46c | 450.5$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.23 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Jazz | 46c | 427$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.42 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Jazz | 46c | 427$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.42 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Jazz | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Jazz | 45c | 394.54$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.54 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Wizards | 54c | 326$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.96 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Jazz | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Jazz | 47c | 298.01$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Jazz | 46c | 262.65$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.03 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Jazz | 48c | 248.38$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.22 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Jazz | 49c | 228.57$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Wizards | 59c | 210.83$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.16 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Jazz | 48c | 203.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.91 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Wizards | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Wizards | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Jazz | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Wizards | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Wizards | 54c | 194$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Jazz | 51c | 183.69$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.68 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Jazz | 48c | 175.12$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.84 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Jazz | 48c | 170.86$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.83 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Jazz | 46c | 170.78$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.56 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Jazz | 49c | 164$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Jazz | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Jazz | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Wizards | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 187 | 44.4%83 W · 104 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Jazz | 50c | 145.81$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Wizards | 53c | 134$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf25…636dbacked Jazz | 49c | 117.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Jazz | 47c | 114.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Wizards | 54c | 114.19$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Jazz | 46c | 113.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…c75fbacked Jazz | 48c | 110.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Jazz | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…32b0backed Jazz | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8698…871fbacked Jazz | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Jazz | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ba…67e9backed Jazz | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed Jazz | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…c2e0backed Wizards | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…f7f7backed Jazz | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…ad3dbacked Wizards | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Jazz | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Jazz | 49c | 93.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfab0…e0f5backed Wizards | 52c | 93.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Wizards | 55c | 93.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdd…9ba3backed Wizards | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed Wizards | 53c | 84.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed Jazz | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Jazz | 49c | 82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Jazz | 49c | 80.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Jazz | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…0ee7backed Jazz | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Jazz | 46c | 74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Jazz | 45c | 70.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Jazz (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Jazz (-2.5)Wizards won
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Cody Williams: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Cody Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- John Konchar: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Jazz (-3.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Jazz (-5.5)Wizards won
- Tristan Vukcevic: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Tristan Vukcevic: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Wizards vs. JazzWizards won
- Wizards vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Wizards vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.