TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Jazz (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wizardsof Jazz, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,253

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,253 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf988…d63bbacked Jazz46c15,190$6,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,987.428554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Wizards54c14,607$7,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,719.221457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards54c9,265$5,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,261.931,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jazz44c3,082$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.273,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz41c1,778$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.688,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd753…0c67backed Jazz46c1,600$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz45c1,331$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.584,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jazz45c1,245$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.595,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Wizards55c1,114$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.0614049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Jazz45c1,090$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.51,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Wizards54c980.31$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.941,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Jazz46c978.26$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed Jazz44c901.24$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.739352.7%49 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wizards59c875.09$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.792,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz45c831.25$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.814,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Wizards56c715.11$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.1118748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Wizards58c630.85$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.9615850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Wizards56c464.29$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.299845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Jazz44c462$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.2847436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Wizards55c455.91$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.1623550.2%118 W · 117 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x800b…152abacked Jazz46c396.33$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.32842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jazz46c386.99$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.52,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Jazz46c360$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.654246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Jazz45c337.92$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.893,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Jazz46c328$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.8871449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Jazz46c302.3$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.953,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Wizards55c296.99$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.6516845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Jazz42c271.12$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.181,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Wizards55c270$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.514145.4%64 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Wizards55c270$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.513352.6%70 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f79…f7f7backed Jazz45c269.79$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.419442.6%40 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Wizards55c269.09$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.0910943.1%47 W · 62 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Wizards56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8614152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9737…09c1backed Wizards55c267.72$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.474240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Wizards54c265.07$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.931,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Wizards56c264.3$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.314445.8%66 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9357…407ebacked Jazz42c263.43$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.64944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Jazz46c248.44$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.1376552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e4a…1a5cbacked Wizards56c242.86$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.866040%24 W · 36 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb74f…030abacked Wizards56c241$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.045540%22 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Jazz41c223.77$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2956447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Jazz45c220$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9911543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed Jazz46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x844d…3059backed Jazz46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-35.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Jazz46c213.87$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.381,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Jazz45c208.06$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.321,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…25c0backed Jazz43c200$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.51637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Jazz44c191.66$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.129344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Wizards55c163$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3518744.4%83 W · 104 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Jazz44c160$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.495548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Jazz46c159.9$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.972744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Jazz45c157$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6556547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Jazz45c157$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6545646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Jazz44c149.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6613448.5%65 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4125…23a9backed Jazz46c145$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.64245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x540f…92bebacked Wizards55c137$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.656445.3%29 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Wizards55c137$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6522351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec38…ca10backed Wizards55c137$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6511050.9%56 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ac8…9e67backed Wizards55c134.55$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5518543.2%80 W · 105 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78ba…0b74backed Wizards56c133.93$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.931346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1591…3cc4backed Jazz46c130.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Jazz46c117.44$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0260945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Wizards55c110$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.516249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Wizards55c110$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.516245.1%73 W · 89 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Jazz46c107.63$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0755347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards56c107$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.082,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Jazz46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Jazz44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4453339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff7f…bb30backed Jazz45c99.98$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.494637%17 W · 29 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x95fc…10f6backed Wizards55c92.25$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.515742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Wizards65c89.84$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.531,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Jazz47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4029046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0654…f5a9backed Wizards56c85$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.49451.1%48 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Wizards59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.751,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc480…ae0ebacked Wizards56c80.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.362850%14 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Jazz41c74.75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Wizards78c71.97$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8190357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Jazz40c67.48$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.081,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed Wizards55c66.02$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7139864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec8b…f0ebbacked Jazz47c65.74$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Wizards55c57$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6514753.7%79 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0310…4745backed Wizards55c57$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.655147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4ce0backed Wizards55c57$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.658348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe16…5fa2backed Wizards55c57$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.656442.2%27 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a11…b918backed Jazz47c56.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Jazz45c55.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2593145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Wizards54c55.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5328949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75d1…0b9cbacked Wizards55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5511447.4%54 W · 60 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Jazz46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513447%63 W · 71 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa080…e029backed Jazz46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256254.8%34 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0435…cf1dbacked Jazz47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516947.3%80 W · 89 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Jazz44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2235546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Jazz45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.55129.4%15 W · 36 L-7.8wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jazz45c48.94$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.781,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf558…b2cbbacked Jazz47c48.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.746854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Jazz46c46.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2212541.6%52 W · 73 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaeb7…2c57backed Wizards55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.451861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Wizards55c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2513148.9%64 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked Jazz46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207047.1%33 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Jazz46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.