NBA · resolved market
Spread: Jazz (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf8e3bb4adddb241097a7ad379ccbed5b99be005bf5238b581ddf22c64fdcdfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Jazz, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,253 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Jazz | 46c | 15,190$6,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,987.4 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Wizards | 54c | 14,607$7,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,719.22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards | 54c | 9,265$5,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,261.93 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Jazz | 44c | 3,082$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.27 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jazz | 41c | 1,778$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.68 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd753…0c67backed Jazz | 46c | 1,600$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz | 45c | 1,331$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.58 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jazz | 45c | 1,245$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.59 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Wizards | 55c | 1,114$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.06 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Jazz | 45c | 1,090$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.5 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Wizards | 54c | 980.31$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.94 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Jazz | 46c | 978.26$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed Jazz | 44c | 901.24$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.73 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wizards | 59c | 875.09$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.79 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz | 45c | 831.25$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.81 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Wizards | 56c | 715.11$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.11 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Wizards | 58c | 630.85$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.96 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Wizards | 56c | 464.29$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.29 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Jazz | 44c | 462$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.28 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Wizards | 55c | 455.91$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.16 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Jazz | 46c | 396.33$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.3 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jazz | 46c | 386.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Jazz | 46c | 360$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Jazz | 45c | 337.92$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.89 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Jazz | 46c | 328$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.88 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jazz | 46c | 302.3$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.95 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Wizards | 55c | 296.99$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.65 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Jazz | 42c | 271.12$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.18 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Wizards | 55c | 270$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Wizards | 55c | 270$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…f7f7backed Jazz | 45c | 269.79$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.41 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Wizards | 55c | 269.09$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.09 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Wizards | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9737…09c1backed Wizards | 55c | 267.72$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.47 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Wizards | 54c | 265.07$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.93 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Wizards | 56c | 264.3$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.3 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9357…407ebacked Jazz | 42c | 263.43$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Jazz | 46c | 248.44$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.13 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…1a5cbacked Wizards | 56c | 242.86$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.86 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…030abacked Wizards | 56c | 241$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.04 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Jazz | 41c | 223.77$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.29 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Jazz | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…9a83backed Jazz | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…3059backed Jazz | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Jazz | 46c | 213.87$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.38 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Jazz | 45c | 208.06$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.32 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed Jazz | 43c | 200$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Jazz | 44c | 191.66$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Wizards | 55c | 163$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.35 | 187 | 44.4%83 W · 104 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Jazz | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Jazz | 46c | 159.9$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.97 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Jazz | 45c | 157$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.65 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Jazz | 45c | 157$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.65 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Jazz | 44c | 149.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…23a9backed Jazz | 46c | 145$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540f…92bebacked Wizards | 55c | 137$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Wizards | 55c | 137$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Wizards | 55c | 137$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac8…9e67backed Wizards | 55c | 134.55$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…0b74backed Wizards | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1591…3cc4backed Jazz | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Jazz | 46c | 117.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Wizards | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Wizards | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Jazz | 46c | 107.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards | 56c | 107$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Jazz | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Jazz | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…bb30backed Jazz | 45c | 99.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…10f6backed Wizards | 55c | 92.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Wizards | 65c | 89.84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Jazz | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed Wizards | 56c | 85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Wizards | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…ae0ebacked Wizards | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Jazz | 41c | 74.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Wizards | 78c | 71.97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Jazz | 40c | 67.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed Wizards | 55c | 66.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…f0ebbacked Jazz | 47c | 65.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Wizards | 55c | 57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…4745backed Wizards | 55c | 57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed Wizards | 55c | 57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…5fa2backed Wizards | 55c | 57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…b918backed Jazz | 47c | 56.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Jazz | 45c | 55.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Wizards | 54c | 55.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…0b9cbacked Wizards | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Jazz | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…e029backed Jazz | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…cf1dbacked Jazz | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Jazz | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Jazz | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -7.8wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jazz | 45c | 48.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf558…b2cbbacked Jazz | 47c | 48.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Jazz | 46c | 46.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb7…2c57backed Wizards | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Wizards | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Jazz | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Jazz | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Jazz (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Jazz (-2.5)Wizards won
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Cody Williams: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Cody Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- John Konchar: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Jazz (-3.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Jazz (-4.5)Wizards won
- Tristan Vukcevic: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Tristan Vukcevic: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Wizards vs. JazzWizards won
- Wizards vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Wizards vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.