TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf558…b2cb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NHL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 54 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT6854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.02
Trail Blazers vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.28
Knicks vs. Rockets: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.27
Raptors vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.22
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Suns vs. Magic: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$20.33
Wizards vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.02
Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.69
Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 242.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.88
Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.14
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.15
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.92
Knicks vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.17
Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Kings vs. Nets: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.71
Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Spread: Hornets (-2.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.19
Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.96
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.52
Clippers vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Clippers vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 245.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-4.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$12.31
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$31.73
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.36
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.71
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.26
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$56.89
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.43
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-6.5)backed Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.56
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$28.29
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 161.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$36.8
LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.73
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$73.14
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.56
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 164.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.36
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.09
Devils vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$13.68
Stars vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Flyers vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$13.46
Islanders vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$17.8
Canucks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.55
Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.51
Blues vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+126.6%+$18.46
Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.52
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.78
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick15cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 76°F or higher on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 68°F or higher on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$51.46
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 11°C or below on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 80°F or higher on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+101.1%+$29.43
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 68°F or higher on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.47
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C or higher on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.91
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C or higher on March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.87
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$22.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.