TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$246,854
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$246,684

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,854 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under51c30,000$15,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,372.861,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c10,292$5,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2491,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c8,142$4,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0711,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c7,974$3,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,019.254,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over51c7,038$3,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,448.731,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over48c6,981$3,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,627.082,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3925…bfa9backed Under50c5,887$2,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,943.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa072…6563backed Over50c5,757$2,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,878.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3a9…74e4backed Over50c5,527$2,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,763.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa23f…e114backed Under50c5,207$2,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,603.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c3b…a78dbacked Over50c5,089$2,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,544.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Under49c4,410$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,150.4923047%108 W · 122 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d80…38cebacked Under50c4,065$2,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,032.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7f6…55bbbacked Over50c3,983$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,991.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca82…f6e0backed Under50c3,463$1,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,731.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31a8…caedbacked Under50c3,394$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,697250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over52c3,057$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.521,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdfa4…27c5backed Under50c2,979$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Over48c2,975$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.988154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5d…8596backed Over50c2,963$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a81…0715backed Over50c2,949$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd061…51cfbacked Over50c2,945$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa25e…8d2dbacked Over50c2,941$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15c4…5ed7backed Over50c2,939$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf7…6a6ebacked Over50c2,933$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcae8…a840backed Over50c2,919$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1578…575fbacked Under50c2,905$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c2,883$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.164,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x158c…9c10backed Under50c2,879$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…d807backed Under50c2,871$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb153…fa24backed Over50c2,863$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e2…51bfbacked Over50c2,811$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fcd…4218backed Under50c2,805$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadc2…87a8backed Over50c2,801$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb48…896fbacked Over50c2,749$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe7e…8988backed Over50c2,747$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f0…4158backed Under50c2,741$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce46…a8c2backed Under50c2,731$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66d0…60e3backed Under50c2,727$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0420…2663backed Under50c2,709$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,354.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac25…246bbacked Under50c2,705$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa789…991bbacked Under50c2,691$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bfe…069ebacked Under50c2,677$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee66…592ebacked Under50c2,661$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0021…976ebacked Over50c2,649$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9af0…3fdcbacked Under50c2,627$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fcf…d404backed Under50c2,625$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x784e…9868backed Over50c2,617$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34d5…d66fbacked Under50c2,609$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd19d…46b9backed Over50c2,609$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ce…4365backed Under50c2,607$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661f…2fd6backed Over50c2,603$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9093…188ebacked Over50c2,595$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c2c…bb1ebacked Under50c2,591$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7037…eebebacked Under50c2,583$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb652…5769backed Over50c2,573$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b68…8f5dbacked Over50c2,555$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe305…a1aebacked Over50c2,547$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Under49c2,532$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24016249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e63…8592backed Over50c2,527$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b26…9f87backed Under50c2,519$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8754…9367backed Over50c2,509$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2312…19cfbacked Over50c2,508$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2542100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8d2…5df4backed Under50c2,507$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf864…8d3bbacked Over50c2,505$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c42…1d53backed Under50c2,489$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf6c…edb3backed Under50c2,483$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc118…ae2abacked Under50c2,475$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f52…73bebacked Under50c2,449$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x628c…a15abacked Under50c2,421$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa077…c210backed Under50c2,417$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,208.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeb6…b51ebacked Under50c2,399$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4e4…0596backed Under50c2,387$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93c8…583bbacked Under50c2,367$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4dc…afe2backed Under50c2,355$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3172…ed7bbacked Under50c2,351$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56a1…b668backed Over50c2,315$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf621…cc58backed Under50c2,291$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7afd…0844backed Under50c2,283$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5523…8397backed Over50c2,263$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb43c…51cebacked Under50c2,259$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…6b45backed Under50c2,225$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over49c2,203$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.486,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08a5…1051backed Under50c2,203$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1149…64c8backed Over50c2,173$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78de…e8b1backed Over50c2,157$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47d6…d2f2backed Under50c2,093$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93f8…df46backed Over50c2,075$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x324b…4dcebacked Over50c2,067$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8502…afd6backed Over50c2,067$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28f4…031bbacked Over50c2,045$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf7…ba53backed Over50c2,037$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.0941649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb0b…96d2backed Over50c1,990$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d9b…0c91backed Over50c1,988$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x283e…06aebacked Over50c1,967$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under52c1,929$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x953f…c624backed Over50c1,924$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0865…3cf0backed Over50c1,913$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.