NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x756fd8ae8edb5955ceb078bc3d5c95e50fb1b8f1eabc9a437da3d5ba8e6f54af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x410d…d831backed Under | 49c | 9,722$4,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,763.78 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 46c | 8,368$3,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,860.49 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x869f…7a8bbacked Over | 54c | 8,084$4,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,755.17 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…5bb6backed Over | 51c | 6,941$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,401.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…f5dabacked Under | 50c | 6,804$3,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,402 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Over | 53c | 6,592$3,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,098.24 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 54c | 6,142$3,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.46 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd5…c39fbacked Under | 50c | 5,808$2,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3580…7330backed Over | 50c | 5,465$2,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,732.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Over | 55c | 5,433$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbee6…9c9dbacked Over | 50c | 5,330$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,665 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x095e…22a7backed Over | 50c | 4,969$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc015…4bb9backed Under | 49c | 4,806$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,354.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18fd…07b3backed Over | 50c | 4,688$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1194…8c3ebacked Over | 50c | 4,659$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…fa2cbacked Under | 50c | 4,555$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 4,420$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.1 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…377bbacked Under | 50c | 4,256$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…2cacbacked Under | 50c | 4,216$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedfe…c397backed Over | 50c | 4,216$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df6…ef60backed Over | 50c | 4,182$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3c1bbacked Under | 50c | 4,138$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 51c | 3,781$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.66 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 54c | 3,505$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.03 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 48c | 3,420$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.6 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…637fbacked Under | 50c | 2,760$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 2,747$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.54 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 2,556$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.41 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.99 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 48c | 2,211$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.11 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc10…cd9abacked Under | 49c | 2,135$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Under | 48c | 2,014$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.71 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…8b1cbacked Over | 50c | 2,001$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Over | 53c | 1,984$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Under | 50c | 1,922$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.23 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…bcdbbacked Under | 50c | 1,752$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf96…5156backed Under | 48c | 1,706$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 1,566$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.56 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 51c | 1,465$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.49 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 47c | 1,341$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.42 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 46c | 1,255$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.87 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Under | 47c | 1,085$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.12 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 47c | 966$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.02 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 827.96$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.91 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b5…4566backed Under | 50c | 672$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 644.4$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.87 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 48c | 608.95$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.95 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd9…fbabbacked Under | 50c | 552$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 508.85$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.98 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 46c | 460.53$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.84 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 458$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.26 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 46c | 457.88$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.63 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 456.94$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.67 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…bd1bbacked Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 328.93$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.31 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 52c | 303$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.44 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 50c | 298.62$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.02 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 49c | 290.2$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 49c | 265.47$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.37 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 259.41$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.2 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Under | 47c | 241$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.27 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa04…796bbacked Over | 54c | 220.19$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.64 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 48c | 206.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.44 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…5f75backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…57febacked Over | 51c | 194.14$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.13 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 48c | 184.8$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.13 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 51c | 181.11$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.06 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Under | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 51c | 175.51$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.07 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 173.31$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.31 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…7e77backed Over | 49c | 164.76$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 51c | 158.51$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.26 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 47c | 157.45$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 45c | 156$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 47c | 155.88$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.51 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 51c | 154.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.17 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…50d1backed Under | 49c | 152$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 51c | 150.63$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Over | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b8…a6d4backed Under | 47c | 142$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…954bbacked Under | 46c | 140$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7935…fa59backed Under | 47c | 135$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa662…ca1cbacked Under | 47c | 132$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 53c | 129.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.52 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 46c | 125$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 46c | 118.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 47c | 114$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 51c | 105$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe725…2b00backed Under | 44c | 103.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 49c | 103$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5this page
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Magic vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Magic vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Magic vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Under won
- Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 24.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.