NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef54425dc6d1727e47330841ae0f1a21ad050896ff88fc13a297c3d84e4aa25a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Magic, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,518,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,652,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,518,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Magic | 47c | 342,067$161,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161,492.26 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6e…48e6backed Raptors | 52c | 215,404$112,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,393.68 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x893b…a860backed Magic | 1c | 120,183$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4044backed Magic | 45c | 103,489$47,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,020.31 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Magic | 49c | 52,510$25,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,730 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 54c | 48,574$26,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,415.99 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…f73cbacked Magic | 46c | 48,328$22,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,230.67 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Raptors | 58c | 46,785$27,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,643.28 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Magic | 48c | 44,312$21,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,269.87 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 14c | 42,035$5,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,750.58 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Magic | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,199.96 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Raptors | 53c | 37,325$19,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,724.98 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ce…079fbacked Magic | 44c | 31,300$13,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,772 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors | 54c | 30,128$16,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,762.88 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Raptors | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,400 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Raptors | 54c | 29,858$16,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,715.56 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Raptors | 52c | 25,555$13,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,266.4 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Raptors | 53c | 25,483$13,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,062.89 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Magic | 7c | 25,000$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.1 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Raptors | 57c | 23,893$13,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,302.54 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Raptors | 54c | 21,507$11,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,893.4 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Magic | 46c | 20,970$9,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,646 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked Raptors | 52c | 20,800$10,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,984 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Magic | 1c | 20,034$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Magic | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Raptors | 52c | 19,273$10,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,250.92 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7792…b63bbacked Raptors | 56c | 18,300$10,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,051.99 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…7c02backed Magic | 49c | 17,928$8,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,711.08 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Raptors | 55c | 17,377$9,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,779.53 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 53c | 16,378$8,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,667.1 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Magic | 45c | 15,976$7,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,189.4 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9557…7136backed Raptors | 54c | 15,741$8,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,179.94 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Magic | 13c | 14,966$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.95 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Raptors | 52c | 14,510$7,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,964.69 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Raptors | 56c | 13,480$7,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,977.62 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Raptors | 56c | 13,332$7,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,932.74 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Magic | 2c | 13,108$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.16 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Magic | 47c | 12,583$5,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,913.85 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…3f0fbacked Magic | 46c | 12,000$5,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,520 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Raptors | 54c | 12,000$6,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,520 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Magic | 46c | 12,000$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,550 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4870…85f7backed Raptors | 56c | 11,300$6,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,971.96 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Raptors | 56c | 10,500$5,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,659.36 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Raptors | 56c | 9,600$5,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,258.92 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab28…3ff0backed Raptors | 54c | 9,282$5,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,269.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Raptors | 56c | 9,264$5,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,076.36 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 71c | 8,961$6,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.6 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Magic | 45c | 8,877$3,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,994.65 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa2…8373backed Raptors | 56c | 8,800$4,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,872 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802a…ddecbacked Magic | 44c | 8,800$3,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,872 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfd…3e5cbacked Raptors | 56c | 8,750$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3409…1871backed Magic | 44c | 8,742$3,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,846.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c99…745cbacked Raptors | 56c | 8,650$4,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,806 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…16bbbacked Magic | 44c | 8,650$3,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,806 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Raptors | 48c | 8,508$4,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,432.8 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 54c | 8,114$4,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,767.75 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Magic | 43c | 8,000$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Magic | 1c | 7,868$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…fbbbbacked Raptors | 53c | 7,597$4,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570.52 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4084…357abacked Raptors | 55c | 7,409$4,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,334.09 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Magic | 8c | 7,292$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.77 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Magic | 52c | 7,018$3,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,649.15 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Magic | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Magic | 46c | 6,742$3,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,101.33 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502a…3e84backed Raptors | 54c | 6,500$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Magic | 45c | 6,431$2,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,922.74 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…8406backed Magic | 44c | 6,400$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,816 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2a42backed Magic | 12c | 6,266$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.93 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32dd…c881backed Raptors | 52c | 6,240$3,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,995.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…d061backed Raptors | 57c | 5,781$3,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8306…3d93backed Raptors | 54c | 5,632$3,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x808f…0c6ebacked Raptors | 56c | 5,500$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Raptors | 53c | 5,371$2,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,524.29 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…f355backed Magic | 46c | 5,300$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,438 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e6…7ce6backed Raptors | 54c | 5,300$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,438 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Magic | 46c | 5,286$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.35 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Magic | 48c | 5,143$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.91 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55d1…4c30backed Magic | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa56a…3072backed Raptors | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed Raptors | 53c | 4,970$2,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.04 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa438…8605backed Magic | 44c | 4,834$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.98 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Raptors | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.98 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Raptors | 57c | 4,680$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.88 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…0d8cbacked Raptors | 53c | 4,670$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.87 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Magic | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Magic | 46c | 4,292$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.14 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Magic | 54c | 4,204$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Magic | 18c | 4,187$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Magic | 46c | 4,125$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.26 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raptors | 68c | 4,123$2,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.92 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ebbabacked Magic | 44c | 4,100$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbc…c413backed Magic | 47c | 4,043$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Magic | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Magic | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Raptors | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x340e…36f4backed Magic | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.99 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…267ebacked Magic | 29c | 3,960$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.38 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96ad…5195backed Magic | 46c | 3,913$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1342backed Raptors | 57c | 3,883$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…7d65backed Magic | 44c | 3,597$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Raptorsthis page
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Magic vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Magic vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Under won
- Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 24.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.