NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf62d7d645b37615459127a55f9ed367bf869b806f7186934de6f4c3e847f67b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Magic | 55c | 10,171$5,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,593.96 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 45c | 7,436$3,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,111.41 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d0…49dabacked Raptors | 45c | 3,192$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7da…e9f9backed Magic | 55c | 2,556$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 44c | 2,473$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9464…0574backed Magic | 55c | 2,467$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Raptors | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.92 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Raptors | 45c | 1,887$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.85 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f58…5631backed Magic | 55c | 1,861$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd3…8a5cbacked Raptors | 45c | 1,837$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Magic | 65c | 1,833$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.14 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…7afdbacked Raptors | 45c | 1,757$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x855e…7742backed Magic | 55c | 1,685$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors | 43c | 1,566$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.62 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85d…5fbbbacked Raptors | 45c | 1,444$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Magic | 56c | 1,331$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.58 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd401…4b87backed Magic | 55c | 1,297$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…d062backed Raptors | 45c | 1,257$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbb…8518backed Raptors | 45c | 1,162$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Magic | 56c | 891.52$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.63 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…52a2backed Magic | 55c | 783$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c8…04febacked Magic | 58c | 647.32$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Magic | 56c | 533.86$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.96 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Raptors | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Magic | 56c | 475$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 38c | 463.25$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.38 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Magic | 56c | 445.12$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Magic | 56c | 408.74$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.92 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Raptors | 44c | 323$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.88 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Raptors | 42c | 301.28$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.74 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Raptors | 33c | 300.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.17 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Magic | 56c | 278.31$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.85 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Raptors | 41c | 217.56$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.71 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Raptors | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1629…8510backed Magic | 56c | 179.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Magic | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Magic | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Raptors | 43c | 176.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.04 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Magic | 54c | 173.42$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.65 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Raptors | 44c | 160$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Raptors | 44c | 160$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…ecc4backed Raptors | 45c | 154$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.7 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 54cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69ef…4c6abacked Raptors | 45c | 145$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Raptors | 45c | 128.45$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.86 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Raptors | 44c | 125$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf87…90f6backed Magic | 56c | 121.87$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Raptors | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8742…5e43backed Magic | 56c | 94.05$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Raptors | 44c | 89.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Magic | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…a40bbacked Magic | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Magic | 57c | 77.19$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d5…9622backed Magic | 56c | 77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Raptors | 39c | 76.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…e845backed Magic | 55c | 76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Magic | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Raptors | 47c | 56.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Magic | 55c | 54.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…48a3backed Raptors | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…5f6cbacked Raptors | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Raptors | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Magic | 56c | 49.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Magic | 53c | 48.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Magic | 53c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Magic | 57c | 44.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe97f…9337backed Magic | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…e226backed Magic | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cf…0362backed Magic | 55c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…c770backed Magic | 55c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…83b5backed Magic | 56c | 43.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…2071backed Magic | 55c | 40.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x720f…592cbacked Magic | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Magic | 56c | 38.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…3318backed Magic | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Raptors | 43c | 33.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41a…087fbacked Magic | 56c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…c8acbacked Raptors | 45c | 30.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…b096backed Magic | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Raptors | 45c | 28.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Raptors | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Raptors | 48c | 27.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Magic | 52c | 26.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…8d55backed Magic | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Magic | 52c | 21.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Magic | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Magic | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…0d39backed Magic | 53c | 19.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Magic | 56c | 18.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fc…7cc1backed Magic | 60c | 17.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 144 | 71.5%103 W · 41 L | +22.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)this page
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Magic vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Magic vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Magic vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Under won
- Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 24.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.