NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea523b407bb067e896044843ea257ee7873342afee8d35bd741e4e0147509a73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $366,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $366,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $366,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ec3…3cdcbacked Magic | 52c | 65,500$34,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,060 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Magic | 51c | 40,252$20,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,528.63 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdc…ff57backed Raptors | 48c | 19,327$9,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,050.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +42%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb61c…c177backed Raptors | 48c | 18,808$9,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,780.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf384…125dbacked Magic | 52c | 17,935$9,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,326.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0105…85e0backed Raptors | 48c | 17,554$8,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,128.08 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcac0…12b5backed Raptors | 48c | 16,992$8,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,835.84 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d18…99f1backed Magic | 52c | 16,869$8,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,771.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2004…3139backed Raptors | 48c | 16,677$8,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,672.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 41cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…4b1dbacked Raptors | 48c | 16,673$8,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,669.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b4…9839backed Raptors | 48c | 16,567$7,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,614.84 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…6d5abacked Raptors | 48c | 16,342$7,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,497.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e95…3040backed Raptors | 48c | 16,312$7,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,482.24 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…2920backed Magic | 52c | 16,034$8,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,337.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48ea…47e9backed Raptors | 48c | 16,002$7,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,321.04 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 48c | 15,834$7,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,236.01 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae0…a603backed Magic | 52c | 15,777$8,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,204.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0f…0c6dbacked Magic | 52c | 15,667$8,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,146.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…042dbacked Magic | 52c | 15,386$8,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777e…6161backed Raptors | 48c | 15,098$7,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,850.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf4ebacked Magic | 52c | 14,979$7,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,789.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6b…013bbacked Magic | 52c | 14,263$7,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,416.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Raptors | 49c | 14,000$6,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,139.98 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38c…a850backed Magic | 52c | 13,746$7,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,147.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21df…b73cbacked Raptors | 48c | 11,952$5,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,215.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Magic | 52c | 10,569$5,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,445.97 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Raptors | 47c | 9,760$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,159.28 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…f725backed Magic | 52c | 8,527$4,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,434.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Raptors | 48c | 8,482$4,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,410.63 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Raptors | 49c | 8,273$4,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,219.47 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Raptors | 49c | 8,265$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,215.31 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb1…981bbacked Raptors | 48c | 8,100$3,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,212 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Raptors | 49c | 7,959$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,059.18 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…49bbbacked Magic | 49c | 6,173$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…c3dcbacked Magic | 52c | 6,000$3,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,090 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c8…04febacked Magic | 54c | 5,713$3,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.31 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Raptors | 46c | 5,490$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964.59 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…c1bdbacked Raptors | 49c | 5,306$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Raptors | 49c | 4,630$2,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.3 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Raptors | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…040dbacked Magic | 52c | 4,060$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…000ebacked Raptors | 48c | 4,056$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Magic | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.99 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Raptors | 49c | 3,878$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.55 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a9…2790backed Raptors | 51c | 3,864$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcde4…0a94backed Raptors | 51c | 3,588$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…7696backed Magic | 49c | 3,108$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4805…7068backed Raptors | 49c | 2,965$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Magic | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Magic | 51c | 2,934$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7d…eaa6backed Magic | 52c | 2,652$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8645…5e95backed Raptors | 51c | 2,245$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Magic | 54c | 2,069$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Raptors | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.8 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Raptors | 45c | 1,950$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.66 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Magic | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.96 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c36…7854backed Magic | 55c | 1,816$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 53c | 1,711$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.9 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Magic | 54c | 1,666$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.64 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 43c | 1,488$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.36 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…4e9cbacked Raptors | 48c | 1,479$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Raptors | 46c | 1,412$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.32 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Magic | 52c | 1,231$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e8…6854backed Magic | 51c | 1,182$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…85e3backed Magic | 49c | 1,030$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Raptors | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Magic | 51c | 996.08$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Magic | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Magic | 51c | 958.16$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.59 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Magic | 53c | 943.96$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Magic | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 48c | 857.38$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.98 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors | 49c | 801.26$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.64 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd48…d64fbacked Magic | 50c | 800.48$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4efc…6391backed Raptors | 48c | 799.99$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.99 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Magic | 60c | 722.08$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.1 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Raptors | 49c | 693.23$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.82 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Raptors | 49c | 679.59$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.59 | 184 | 56%103 W · 81 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed Magic | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…49f4backed Magic | 52c | 669$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors | 46c | 620.16$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b12…de95backed Magic | 52c | 616$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…45bdbacked Raptors | 51c | 614$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Raptors | 47c | 595.92$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.34 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Magic | 51c | 556.49$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.81 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Raptors | 46c | 546$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.84 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928f…de3dbacked Raptors | 48c | 523$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Raptors | 47c | 500.97$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.75 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade0…44fdbacked Magic | 52c | 494$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e9…df94backed Raptors | 48c | 492$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac32…20f8backed Magic | 52c | 479$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd98b…160abacked Magic | 52c | 469$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Raptors | 47c | 452.48$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.92 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba1…761fbacked Raptors | 48c | 441$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…f464backed Raptors | 48c | 437$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x374d…3ac3backed Raptors | 48c | 416$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee0…2545backed Raptors | 48c | 402$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…eab3backed Magic | 52c | 399$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Magic | 52c | 390$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Raptors | 48c | 373$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.83 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)this page
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Magic vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Magic vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Magic vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Under won
- Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 24.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.