TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe725…2b00

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT3542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$186.51
Desmond Bane: Points O/U 21.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$64.92
Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Devin Carter: Points O/U 12.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.99
Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.99
Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.58
Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.08
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.15
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+271.8%+$64.91
Spread: Heat (-2.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.25
Spread: Heat (-9.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$16.36
Spread: Heat (-7.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$140.93
Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Spread: Magic (-15.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.99
Spread: Jazz (-5.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 7.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$20
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.98
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$46.83
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$96.14
Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$35.35
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT3046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$70.83
Sabres vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+145.9%+$87.56
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.83
Predators vs. Lightningbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.99
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$100.38
Blackhawks vs. Rangersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Red Wings vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Red Wings vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.84
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$42.78
Sharks vs. Blues: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Devils vs. Predatorsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$35
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Senators (-1.5)backed Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Wild vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+105.2%+$50.7
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.64
Rangers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.6
Sharks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Devils vs. Starsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$23.7
Avalanche vs. Penguinsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$15.59
Maple Leafs vs. Bruinsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+102.8%+$46.27
Kraken vs. Panthersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.33
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.95
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 148.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.99
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.81
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.87
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.76
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+102%+$30.34
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 174.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.6
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.73
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona vs. Anadolu Efesbacked Anadolu Efes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.