NHL · resolved market

Rangers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1845ee0bd653e8f9c63642d6bbf08f675eef0f354f5285ae44282b6dfe03fba7

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $28,278

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,278 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6e12…20e9backed Over	46c	5,837$2,685 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,151.96	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under	54c	5,234$2,826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,826.36	367	48%176 W · 191 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	46c	5,000$2,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,700	418	42.8%179 W · 239 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under	54c	4,409$2,381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,380.89	515	50.7%261 W · 254 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1070…03b6backed Over	46c	3,900$1,794 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,106	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…06f8backed Under	54c	3,900$2,106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,106	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.34per pick	51cpaid	-66%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ef4…763dbacked Under	55c	3,022$1,661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,661.46	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+2.2wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under	53c	2,158$1,144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,143.53	1,070	49.9%534 W · 536 L	+22.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over	47c	2,000$940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,060	502	51.2%257 W · 245 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over	45c	1,958$881 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,076.67	919	45.6%419 W · 500 L	-27.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	45c	1,184$533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$651.26	594	50.8%302 W · 292 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	54c	948.84$512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512.37	123	55.3%68 W · 55 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over	46c	676.71$313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$363.5	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under	46c	655.51$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	254	49.6%126 W · 128 L	-15.0wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	45c	604.49$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$332.47	1,555	51.4%800 W · 755 L	+12.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under	54c	599.98$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.99	318	48.1%153 W · 165 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over	46c	540$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.6	619	53.8%333 W · 286 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	50c	435.35$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.41	2,664	51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xace9…f74abacked Under	54c	400$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	122	52.5%64 W · 58 L	-10.7wins	-0.09per pick	61cpaid	-13%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	54c	399.99$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.99	769	50.3%387 W · 382 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Over	46c	395.99$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.83	267	50.2%134 W · 133 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aeb…40b5backed Under	37c	378.83$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	53c	374.67$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.33	3,704	50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L	+105.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b22…107fbacked Under	51c	288.5$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.76	84	46.4%39 W · 45 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Under	55c	280$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	111	54.1%60 W · 51 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over	48c	268.16$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.35	1,431	58.3%834 W · 597 L	+81.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over	46c	221$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.34	538	49.4%266 W · 272 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	54c	217$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.18	1,190	50.7%603 W · 587 L	+13.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e2a…e7cebacked Under	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95fc…10f6backed Under	55c	179.65$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.81	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over	45c	150.15$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.58	388	49.5%192 W · 196 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x461b…30ddbacked Under	54c	148.15$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	36c	131.66$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.35	2,754	47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L	+11.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	54c	108.5$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.59	429	48.7%209 W · 220 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over	46c	100$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	599	50.4%302 W · 297 L	+20.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Over	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	91	45.1%41 W · 50 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over	70c	100$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	152	65.1%99 W · 53 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over	55c	87.57$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.16	239	50.6%121 W · 118 L	+11.3wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under	46c	78.78$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.19	336	47.9%161 W · 175 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over	56c	74.78$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.53	272	50%136 W · 136 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	43c	72$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.96	1,384	47.1%652 W · 732 L	+25.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ef…cdd9backed Under	55c	63.64$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over	46c	63$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.02	565	53.6%303 W · 262 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	52c	57.06$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.44	1,846	57.2%1,055 W · 791 L	+85.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f48…b9abbacked Under	55c	54.55$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-3.8wins	-0.27per pick	49cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Over	46c	54.35$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.35	61	39.3%24 W · 37 L	-6.6wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over	62c	51.32$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	332	51.5%171 W · 161 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under	39c	51.23$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.14	303	48.8%148 W · 155 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over	46c	49$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.46	860	49.2%423 W · 437 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6436…aa37backed Under	58c	47.2$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.38	123	35.8%44 W · 79 L	-14.9wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x49a8…b182backed Under	54c	46.3$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-3.8wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	56c	45.24$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.96	657	21.9%144 W · 513 L	-105.6wins	-0.16per pick	38cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under	55c	44.55$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	146	50%73 W · 73 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over	68c	42.25$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.47	295	53.6%158 W · 137 L	+13.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over	46c	40.88$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.9	456	51.5%235 W · 221 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	65c	40$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.06	920	49.7%457 W · 463 L	+14.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd91…3d37backed Over	49c	39.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.4	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under	55c	39.68$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.82	199	51.8%103 W · 96 L	-9.8wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under	33c	39.44$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.94	378	57.4%217 W · 161 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d87…71cebacked Under	58c	37.93$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd4c…394abacked Under	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	81	46.9%38 W · 43 L	-6.0wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Over	49c	35.69$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.07	227	59.5%135 W · 92 L	+9.0wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over	45c	35$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.25	185	57.8%107 W · 78 L	+16.7wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under	54c	33.45$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.1	192	54.7%105 W · 87 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over	68c	32.76$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.61	1,202	60.1%722 W · 480 L	+51.9wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+15%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe725…2b00backed Over	46c	32.6$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.6	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefcb…f64abacked Under	54c	32$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.28	25	68%17 W · 8 L	+2.9wins	+0.11per pick	57cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	46c	30.68$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.57	1,028	53.2%547 W · 481 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over	46c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.2	598	52.3%313 W · 285 L	+34.1wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under	44c	29.6$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.02	355	53%188 W · 167 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Over	46c	28.68$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.49	100	49%49 W · 51 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under	45c	28.02$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.61	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa18f…c57abacked Under	55c	27.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.02	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a2…0020backed Under	38c	26.32$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	-4.0wins	-0.14per pick	38cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1d9…5955backed Under	55c	22.16$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.19	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe825…39b7backed Under	59c	21.72$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.89	48	37.5%18 W · 30 L	-4.5wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under	50c	21.66$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.83	314	48.7%153 W · 161 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over	47c	21.28$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.28	204	47.1%96 W · 108 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Under	55c	21$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.55	120	50.8%61 W · 59 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2b6…1df6backed Under	54c	20.49$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.06	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over	66c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.8	820	43%353 W · 467 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Under	53c	19.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.7	153	68%104 W · 49 L	+11.6wins	+0.08per pick	60cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Rangers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5this page
Rangers vs. Maple LeafsMaple Leafs won
Rangers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.5Over won
Rangers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5Over won
Rangers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 7.5Under won
Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Rangers won
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Maple Leafs won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Rangers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event