NHL · resolved market
Rangers vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x582c66d505843a09b656d6d120d5616d1004150f9de25e3158b0037ee5104c0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Rangers, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,140,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,140,206 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 928 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Rangers | 54c | 242,315$130,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130,849.91 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Rangers | 29c | 188,587$54,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,134.39 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Rangers | 54c | 163,352$87,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,986.19 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Maple Leafs | 71c | 105,287$74,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,501.62 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 72,783$32,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,075.34 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rangers | 2c | 50,445$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.73 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Rangers | 54c | 43,069$23,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,257.09 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 42,296$19,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,880.84 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 40,000$18,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,600 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Rangers | 55c | 33,314$18,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,322.59 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 29,410$18,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,234.49 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 27,118$12,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,257.38 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Maple Leafs | 72c | 22,959$16,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,428.48 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 22,728$10,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,273.12 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebf…3b02backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 22,524$10,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,162.79 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Maple Leafs | 72c | 20,956$15,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,838.05 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,799.99 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rangers | 32c | 12,892$4,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,093.97 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b40…7c33backed Rangers | 0c | 11,330$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Maple Leafs | 72c | 11,111$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,111.11 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 10,841$4,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,854.14 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…ce60backed Maple Leafs | 72c | 10,800$7,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Rangers | 29c | 10,244$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Rangers | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 9,085$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,845.07 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Rangers | 42c | 9,000$3,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,741.07 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Maple Leafs | 71c | 8,888$6,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577.52 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 8,680$3,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,687.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 8,500$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,650 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 8,172$3,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,412.88 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 8,000$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Maple Leafs | 72c | 7,200$5,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 6,674$3,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,603.91 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 6,475$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,560.23 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Maple Leafs | 78c | 6,376$5,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.9 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 6,338$2,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,422.57 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe80…0784backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 6,117$2,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,303.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66a7…3845backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 5,914$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,193.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 5,911$2,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,249.98 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 5,673$2,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,949.91 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -11.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 5,497$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,968.45 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 5,372$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900.74 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 5,334$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.65 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 5,179$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.4 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 5,075$2,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,791.25 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Rangers | 33c | 5,008$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.97 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.96 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Maple Leafs | 71c | 4,964$3,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.42 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 4,865$2,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,626.85 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…731cbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 4,810$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,645.49 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 4,800$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,543.97 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 4,518$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.78 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 4,500$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,384.91 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 4,444$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,466.42 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a22…c593backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 4,029$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 4,000$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.91 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 3,899$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.59 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 3,656$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.18 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…8566backed Rangers | 54c | 3,312$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs | 71c | 3,257$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.45 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Rangers | 15c | 3,182$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.44 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 3,031$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.89 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…5250backed Rangers | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Maple Leafs | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9719backed Maple Leafs | 72c | 2,811$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb145…df85backed Rangers | 15c | 2,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 2,606$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.3 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4743…fd53backed Rangers | 54c | 2,592$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rangers | 52c | 2,533$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.16 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Maple Leafs | 71c | 2,520$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.8 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Rangers | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…88acbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 2,491$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.3 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 2,488$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.29 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28c5…4950backed Rangers | 23c | 2,445$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 2,398$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.83 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe96…7dabbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 2,329$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maple Leafs | 72c | 2,308$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.01 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 2,199$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.91 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Rangers | 53c | 2,100$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 2,000$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Rangers | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 2,000$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…f1c3backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.98 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,976$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.2 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 1,900$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.62 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d01…1f46backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,900$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Rangers | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Rangers | 55c | 1,820$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.86 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Maple Leafs | 79c | 1,818$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.22 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,773$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.95 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,710$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.75 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Maple Leafs | 78c | 1,705$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.13 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers vs. Maple Leafsthis page
- Rangers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.5Over won
- Rangers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5Over won
- Rangers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Over won
- Rangers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Rangers won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.