TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 153.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,577
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,620

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,577 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over50c15,629$7,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,814.4141752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Over46c15,147$6,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,967.7410749.5%53 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Under54c13,180$7,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,115.745341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Over47c12,000$5,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,679.971926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-44.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under50c9,147$4,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,537.671,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Over48c6,758$3,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,268.33141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under51c6,330$3,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,101.564348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa62b…0f85backed Under49c5,532$2,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,821.46757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+36.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe248…f293backed Under49c4,958$2,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,528.778155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under52c4,466$2,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,143.584147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over34c3,834$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.8725145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4c…c962backed Over49c2,210$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.72360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…f1ccbacked Under54c2,119$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.871338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3464…8112backed Over50c2,065$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.684656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67d3…96cbbacked Over50c2,064$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.864360.5%26 W · 17 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under50c2,057$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.1718048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4a2…6fc8backed Over50c2,054$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.195060%30 W · 20 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x701d…57f9backed Under68c2,043$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.58560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Over48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9603441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x950a…fca5backed Over49c2,000$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9701442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9602,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc1d…faffbacked Under50c1,430$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.19875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+46.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Under50c1,392$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.776336.5%23 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34d5…a977backed Under50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd57d…80d0backed Over48c1,190$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.971118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick32cpaid+37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under52c1,186$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.825149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over44c1,175$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.246844.1%30 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Under54c1,106$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.1113343.6%58 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked Under54c1,010$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.68046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc58…7894backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8788…8aa8backed Over46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x938e…2ee3backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002176.2%16 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5669…e058backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc309…513dbacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…4540backed Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-66%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4a9…4d64backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5007231.9%23 W · 49 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xad0b…9eb1backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001080%8 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+61.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Under50c999.75$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.885062%31 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over45c959.68$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.495,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over46c850.88$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.861,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Over48c836.28$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.272334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe182…b624backed Under50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4005552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under50c793$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.555749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74c5…6cb7backed Under50c729.56$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.783647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under50c594.75$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.3824847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c586.47$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.13,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over48c513.41$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.821428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbd1…4244backed Under48c464.06$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.311450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Under49c305.31$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.713860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under52c297.37$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.7460548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Under52c247.82$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.957258.3%42 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6969…d1b9backed Under54c247.18$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.7650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe630…1faebacked Over49c209.38$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.71580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Under52c207.17$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.445959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under60c203.32$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.973,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Under50c198.25$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1320642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over51c194.36$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick48cpaid-65.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x40ff…9d91backed Over51c194.36$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.132657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over47c193.91$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1490645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under63c189.69$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.076459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over46c184.74$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6985248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Under53c180.75$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3411844.1%52 W · 66 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over51c174.93$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.219153.8%49 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under61c162.86$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.696251.6%32 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over46c161.43$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2621342.3%90 W · 123 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c150.61$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.811,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over45c148.28$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.731450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under51c127.84$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3778052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Under52c126.88$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.97354.8%40 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Over51c117.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.11166.3%1 W · 15 L-7.1wins-0.44per pick51cpaid-88%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Under52c114$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.721850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked Over46c112.56$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.782152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Over49c112.01$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.891020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-73.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Over46c107.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5711741.9%49 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Under69c99.25$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.778361.4%51 W · 32 L+9.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8e27…9d61backed Over48c99.13$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.58475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over50c99.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5615252.6%80 W · 72 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ab7…0409backed Under52c95.02$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.611163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e5…c721backed Over46c86.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.41741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd44…f151backed Under50c79.3$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under50c77.78$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9369350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under68c69.78$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.187749.4%38 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e11…644abacked Under72c68.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under52c66.41$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8848551.1%248 W · 237 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under53c65.42$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7561244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1bb…6cc9backed Over48c61.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7410849.1%53 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Under49c57.62$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.416341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Under52c57.49$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.64959.2%29 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Under59c57.21$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.512161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Under63c56.44$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.11566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+67.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf811…69babacked Under50c56.14$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.071952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Over46c53.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.773447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2720…7549backed Over46c51.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.71666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under54c51.55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.716654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under72c49.65$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.910755.1%59 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Under52c47.58$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8432850%164 W · 164 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under52c43.84$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.052875%21 W · 7 L+6.2wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under49c43.25$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0617551.4%90 W · 85 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x65a3…b6bcbacked Over46c43.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.832352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.