TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 152.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,730
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,204

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,730 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over52c13,760$7,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,150.1241752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d45…652abacked Under48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,120955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Under47c4,817$2,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,543.642646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under47c4,697$2,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,489.1522349.3%110 W · 113 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under48c4,450$2,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3144540%18 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over32c3,037$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.745,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over49c2,590$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.372,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Under50c2,400$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2001526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-43.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Under51c2,363$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15825043.2%108 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under50c2,238$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.121,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Over51c2,093$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.376127.9%17 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0006743.3%29 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c1,800$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over48c1,373$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.411,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked Under70c1,256$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.081872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+57.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under46c1,227$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.611,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Over52c1,150$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.792330.4%7 W · 16 L-6.1wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under57c1,148$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.713,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over51c1,017$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.742,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5207938%30 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd1…4244backed Over53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5301450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under48c999.86$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.9318556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under50c596.73$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.3760548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over39c583.2$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.026844.1%30 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2604944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over52c398.79$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6598…5f36backed Over50c392.61$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.252263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Over51c388.73$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.25560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c374.81$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.43,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over32c373.67$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.196459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over32c345.2$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.157749.4%38 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under50c343.45$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.725149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c321.04$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.531,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Under43c313.28$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.211566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+67.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under65c275.95$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.721,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under42c234.86$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.746251.6%32 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Under47c221.06$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.163860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under47c210.91$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.781,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under47c210.91$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7883350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under66c210.09$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.039254.3%50 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c202.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.246246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under49c202.22$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.1378052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9857448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Under66c199.95$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.983372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Under47c198.26$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0812254.1%66 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over49c193.85$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.925145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x199f…7e77backed Under63c157.44$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.251566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under68c156.63$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.831942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under70c146.45$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.554,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over32c144$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.578246.3%38 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Under49c142.05$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.662462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea21…b96cbacked Over50c140.96$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1be0…dc27backed Over51c125.48$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9561…b35abacked Over51c116.32$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.37250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Over53c110.96$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.816336.5%23 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Under50c103$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.54961.2%30 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed Over39c101.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.622842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over38c101.47$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5615238.8%59 W · 93 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05aa…aca6backed Over50c97.14$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.574344.2%19 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over53c93.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5615252.6%80 W · 72 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over32c91.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7764647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Under50c82.78$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.394252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Under47c82.57$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.834443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab52…5487backed Over50c78.57$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.281346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over33c67.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2219958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Under47c63.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.539952.5%52 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c2…abcbbacked Under64c62$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.324100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under65c59.52$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8310755.1%59 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Over55c58.49$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.177157.7%41 W · 30 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Under47c52.73$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9549849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under50c52.53$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4821342.3%90 W · 123 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Under49c50.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.72161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Under48c49.96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.985954.2%32 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Under50c49.54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.773447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab7…0409backed Under50c49.41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.711163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under48c48.01$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9717551.4%90 W · 85 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Over54c47.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.49166.3%1 W · 15 L-7.1wins-0.44per pick51cpaid-88%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Under49c44.61$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.756752.2%35 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Under47c42.18$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.361668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+46.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c7f…7d7fbacked Under47c40.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Under47c39.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.025354.7%29 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Under56c37.83$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.734542.2%19 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under57c34.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7330152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01dc…183ebacked Over34c32.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.091030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60d…03a8backed Under47c31.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.773565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7413…f879backed Under42c30.74$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.932100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Under50c29.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8717446.6%81 W · 93 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae02…7ed0backed Over36c29.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.73922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe881…db61backed Under67c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-50.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Over52c26.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.887657.9%44 W · 32 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Under64c26.69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.482445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Under50c24.78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3922656.2%127 W · 99 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x98cf…a088backed Over54c22.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Under49c21.24$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8310353.4%55 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfedc…61d1backed Over51c20.01$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.171050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1013457.5%77 W · 57 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebe4…fa32backed Over52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under75c19.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9933058.2%192 W · 138 L+24.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.