Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 151.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b16da00be95d5a7cc3ffea27720907622fad5056e37cbd1146b28fe4f7f293e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Over | 56c | 8,888$4,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,956.83 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Over | 50c | 8,783$4,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,391.49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 44c | 7,606$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,226.86 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 45c | 6,758$3,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,688.26 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 46c | 5,511$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,975.82 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed Under | 50c | 4,264$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Under | 46c | 3,826$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.01 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed Under | 46c | 3,540$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.77 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 3,181$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.53 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…3371backed Under | 50c | 1,440$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 38c | 1,336$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +162.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…2a4ebacked Over | 54c | 1,322$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa2…c75fbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Over | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 893.13$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.99 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Over | 54c | 826.09$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.09 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Over | 51c | 657.12$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.43 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 54c | 642.37$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.88 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 53c | 641.21$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.85 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 50c | 621.57$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.79 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 43c | 599.99$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.99 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…c74dbacked Over | 54c | 550.73$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.39 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Over | 55c | 544$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over | 56c | 458.14$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.76 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under | 44c | 456.1$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.42 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 60c | 431.08$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.81 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 400.54$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.78 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over | 50c | 375$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 46c | 372.2$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.61 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 53c | 355.03$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.17 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Over | 54c | 346.96$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.36 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 44c | 315$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.84 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 53c | 240$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 47c | 207.18$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 66c | 206.96$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.74 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Over | 73c | 191.57$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.91 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Over | 54c | 183.58$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 46c | 169.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 31c | 158.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 32c | 116$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Over | 56c | 98.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 44c | 89.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ab…4e8dbacked Over | 56c | 88.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d63…1f72backed Under | 47c | 84.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…7916backed Over | 54c | 82.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Under | 38c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Under | 38c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…029dbacked Over | 54c | 73.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Under | 38c | 63.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 36c | 61.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 50c | 60.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Over | 54c | 59.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 54c | 55.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…ada9backed Over | 55c | 54.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 25c | 52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Over | 56c | 46.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -7.1wins | -0.44per pick | 51cpaid | -88%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9630…a9eebacked Over | 54c | 41.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Under | 44c | 40.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a62…138bbacked Over | 52c | 40.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Over | 54c | 36.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0731…5194backed Under | 45c | 34.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 44c | 33.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Under | 50c | 29.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 174 | 46.6%81 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98cf…b8eabacked Over | 55c | 24.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.9wins | -0.45per pick | 54cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Over | 53c | 23.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 21.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 53c | 19.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 151.5this page
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona WildcatsArizona Wildcats won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 145.5Under won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 146.5Under won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 148.5Under won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 149.5Under won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 152.5Under won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 153.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-1.5)Arizona Wildcats won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-2.5)Arizona Wildcats won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-5.5)Arizona Wildcats won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)Arizona Wildcats won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-8.5)Arizona Wildcats won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-1.5)Arizona Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.