TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e11…644a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Movies, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 51 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT5967.8%40 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 189.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$59.71
Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 195.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$186.62
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$149.35
Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 175.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 183.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$128.17
Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 171.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 183.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$214.29
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$128.81
Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 155.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$102.11
Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 183.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$141.03
Connecticut Sun vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$81.58
Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 158.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$63.64
Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty: O/U 179.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$154.65
Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 178.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$156.52
Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$149.35
Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 165.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$72.92
Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 180.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.54
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 181.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$75.86
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 185.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$74.38
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 183.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.3
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 169.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$77.06
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 183.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$105.31
Seattle Storm vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 169.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$39.46
PortlandFire vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 166.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$73.87
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kings vs. Hawks: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$29.1
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+50.7%+$50.69
Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+31.2%+$15.58
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Jazz vs. Heat: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Cavaliers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$70
76ers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+29.2%+$87.69
Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+29.3%+$66.92
Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+28.9%+$86.67
76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+29.6%+$3.26
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 14 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.