NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf8763f6abc0e6d3308a12ab30c2ddc543ee3d8eccedcab9b5b45472bf15a237
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $266,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $268,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34f6…4535backed Over | 48c | 21,044$10,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,147 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Under | 53c | 17,487$9,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,223.12 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 55c | 16,367$8,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,379.86 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Under | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,050 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 46c | 13,609$6,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,258.78 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Over | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.98 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 8,960$4,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,211.29 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Under | 53c | 5,489$2,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.69 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Over | 46c | 4,945$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295.28 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 4,449$2,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.92 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c9…d65cbacked Under | 48c | 4,012$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7e…f712backed Under | 48c | 3,854$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…8f97backed Over | 52c | 3,811$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d8…20c3backed Over | 52c | 3,765$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ce…2a99backed Over | 52c | 3,725$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f74…df83backed Under | 48c | 3,687$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…3188backed Over | 52c | 3,652$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c39…7c9abacked Over | 52c | 3,612$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0b…31a6backed Over | 52c | 3,587$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd698…b33cbacked Over | 52c | 3,512$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…8776backed Under | 48c | 3,499$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215f…c596backed Under | 48c | 3,488$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfad…3f9dbacked Under | 48c | 3,472$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 45c | 3,447$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.4 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d7…573bbacked Under | 48c | 3,386$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…bbd2backed Under | 48c | 3,358$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a6…def8backed Over | 52c | 3,352$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6794…6b0ebacked Over | 52c | 3,321$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d20…c495backed Under | 48c | 3,315$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f8…bfadbacked Over | 52c | 3,312$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…7bcebacked Under | 48c | 3,223$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9975…e288backed Under | 48c | 3,211$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc42…70f1backed Under | 48c | 3,201$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…fd1ebacked Under | 48c | 3,165$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…f7f8backed Over | 52c | 3,152$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd872…7b81backed Under | 48c | 3,152$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…e265backed Over | 52c | 3,047$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb335…686dbacked Over | 52c | 3,012$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3468…5a5cbacked Under | 48c | 2,966$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf50b…4892backed Under | 48c | 2,950$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…ced2backed Under | 48c | 2,945$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dce…57a5backed Under | 48c | 2,930$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ea…0bafbacked Under | 48c | 2,914$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f3…02bebacked Over | 52c | 2,912$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…ecd7backed Over | 52c | 2,912$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…023bbacked Under | 48c | 2,908$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43c0…a43bbacked Over | 52c | 2,896$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9335…ef70backed Under | 48c | 2,895$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1780…c8cdbacked Under | 48c | 2,860$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b2…c6d5backed Under | 48c | 2,838$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe289…625cbacked Over | 52c | 2,800$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…b7b7backed Under | 48c | 2,795$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ae…fe63backed Over | 52c | 2,795$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0023…eb6abacked Over | 52c | 2,785$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…607bbacked Under | 48c | 2,782$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02c…b1edbacked Under | 48c | 2,766$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36d…4572backed Over | 52c | 2,765$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20bd…2f1ebacked Over | 52c | 2,762$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b17…adbdbacked Over | 52c | 2,758$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd558…3154backed Over | 52c | 2,730$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…19d5backed Over | 52c | 2,720$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056e…f0afbacked Over | 52c | 2,692$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e7…e2cdbacked Over | 52c | 2,688$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x450d…8ee3backed Over | 52c | 2,685$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x665d…b169backed Under | 48c | 2,684$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…b250backed Under | 48c | 2,668$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…6be2backed Over | 52c | 2,665$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b1…bf77backed Over | 52c | 2,655$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…a7b2backed Under | 48c | 2,655$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…54b3backed Over | 52c | 2,650$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…435abacked Under | 48c | 2,612$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6322…a886backed Under | 48c | 2,590$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 2,561$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.63 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9436…2244backed Under | 48c | 2,555$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…3b4abacked Over | 52c | 2,554$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99eb…0afabacked Under | 48c | 2,542$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x587e…c4ddbacked Over | 52c | 2,538$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9b…1356backed Under | 48c | 2,520$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd4…8df2backed Under | 48c | 2,505$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40a…bb33backed Over | 52c | 2,424$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab7b…e775backed Under | 48c | 2,422$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c20…7f9ebacked Over | 52c | 2,366$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…9befbacked Under | 48c | 2,255$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f4…597dbacked Over | 52c | 2,200$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…9b9bbacked Under | 48c | 2,192$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 47c | 2,149$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.09 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Over | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…612bbacked Under | 48c | 2,123$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x537f…bd17backed Under | 48c | 2,123$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…a71ebacked Over | 52c | 2,123$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Under | 51c | 1,950$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.78 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c5…f8e1backed Under | 48c | 1,888$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc8…1e5bbacked Under | 48c | 1,856$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51d…c0a5backed Over | 52c | 1,823$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…8d60backed Over | 52c | 1,731$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fef…e130backed Over | 52c | 1,727$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 1,713$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.52 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbf…4ec0backed Over | 50c | 1,647$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.07 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb8…fe65backed Over | 52c | 1,512$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 55c | 1,480$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Heat won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Heat vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Heat vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Heat vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Heat vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5Under won
- Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Under won
- Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5Under won
- Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5Under won
- Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5Under won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Nikola Vučević: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Heat won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Heat won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.