NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb61dbb867bb7c9aa46927490cf8501d7efac7deb29f9a0d28d8c64170c67c98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 52c | 31,657$16,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,335.66 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 16,186$7,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,402.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 6,000$3,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.4 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Under | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.04 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 51c | 4,148$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.48 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 3,662$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.98 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 48c | 3,583$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.29 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Under | 49c | 3,324$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.08 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef68…5733backed Under | 49c | 3,045$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 48c | 2,917$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.67 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 2,619$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.44 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 66c | 1,544$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.5 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over | 54c | 1,306$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 1,143$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.93 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Over | 53c | 999.88$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.75 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 36c | 979.17$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.45 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d5…af59backed Under | 49c | 975.51$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.51 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 5c | 904.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Under | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 624.03$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.9 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Over | 53c | 566$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Over | 51c | 514.09$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.2 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…ee81backed Over | 53c | 411.77$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.75 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 45c | 399.98$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.99 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 31c | 379.59$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.67 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 378.73$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.42 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 49c | 283$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.33 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 50c | 234.07$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.04 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 69c | 230.48$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.45 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Over | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 220 | 36.8%81 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 20c | 201.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 51c | 200.47$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 51c | 196.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46df…b057backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 211 | 64.5%136 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 43c | 146.84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…5c90backed Over | 22c | 129.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…2518backed Over | 55c | 117.69$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.73 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 53c | 117$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 26c | 114$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 47c | 106$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 95.83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 53c | 95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 183 | 39.3%72 W · 111 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 51c | 89.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 70c | 70.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…8cb2backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Under | 65c | 58.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d6…04cbbacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e1…ec41backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82cb…5c27backed Over | 54c | 51.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Under | 62c | 51.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 37c | 47.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Over | 53c | 46.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Over | 53c | 46.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d8…a90ebacked Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Under | 46c | 45.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Over | 51c | 38.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…9ac1backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 226 | 46.9%106 W · 120 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 32c | 35.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbac8…d2b9backed Over | 54c | 34.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 50c | 32.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 227 | 56.8%129 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 58c | 28.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc05e…c64dbacked Over | 55c | 27.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fe…9d83backed Over | 55c | 27.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 51c | 26.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Over | 54c | 25.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…642bbacked Under | 48c | 25.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde7a…737bbacked Under | 52c | 20.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc12…05f2backed Under | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Over | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7109…a765backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a6…9144backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b72…5b75backed Over | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Heat won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Heat vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Heat vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Heat vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Heat vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Under won
- Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5Under won
- Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5Under won
- Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5Under won
- Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5Under won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Nikola Vučević: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Heat won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Heat won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.