NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb393ac34266f33ba8782d5815eb622fc8936b3ed55343c8c7af1b9cbff51d6a

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 7, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $147,993
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $148,195

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,993 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Over	48c	7,684$3,693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,693.09	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43a4…7170backed Under	50c	6,867$3,434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,433.5	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+3.8wins	+0.19per pick	51cpaid	+39%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x5fe4…04abbacked Over	49c	5,900$2,891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,891	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c3d…b407backed Under	51c	5,890$3,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,886.1	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.31per pick	49cpaid	+63.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Under	49c	5,815$2,860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,955.86	66	54.5%36 W · 30 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over	48c	3,986$1,905 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,905.08	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under	53c	3,500$1,855 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,644.9	1,085	63.6%690 W · 395 L	+86.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	50c	3,388$1,694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,693.85	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfd89…3bc6backed Over	49c	3,299$1,617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,616.51	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under	55c	3,271$1,799 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,472	290	55.5%161 W · 129 L	+15.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc482…f925backed Over	49c	3,258$1,596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,596.42	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd77…0f31backed Over	49c	3,213$1,574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,574.37	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5759…7ea4backed Over	49c	3,047$1,493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,493.03	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xffa6…2202backed Over	49c	3,015$1,477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,477.35	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8999…6476backed Under	51c	2,970$1,515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,455.3	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	50cpaid	+102.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7477…2ce6backed Over	49c	2,963$1,452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,451.87	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cfd…8168backed Over	49c	2,925$1,433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,433.25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…5e7fbacked Under	51c	2,910$1,484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,425.9	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+49.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c42…193bbacked Over	49c	2,900$1,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,421	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d7e…c336backed Over	49c	2,899$1,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,420.51	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…366abacked Over	49c	2,884$1,413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,413.16	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ce0…7a0fbacked Over	49c	2,871$1,407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,406.79	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2ff…be4fbacked Over	49c	2,851$1,397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,396.99	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1d4…56dcbacked Over	49c	2,840$1,392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,391.6	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2334…c54bbacked Over	49c	2,825$1,384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,384.25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x760a…3522backed Over	49c	2,817$1,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,380.33	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f36…77c7backed Under	51c	2,800$1,428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,372	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78a7…fd6ebacked Under	51c	2,783$1,419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,363.67	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x755d…93bfbacked Under	51c	2,775$1,415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,359.75	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5c9…85ffbacked Over	49c	2,760$1,352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,352.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x330e…1d6ebacked Under	51c	2,755$1,405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,349.95	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7992…4685backed Under	51c	2,751$1,403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,347.99	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa78a…6d8dbacked Over	49c	2,740$1,343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,342.6	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed80…7cfbbacked Under	51c	2,734$1,394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,339.66	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	50cpaid	+102.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f3a…2517backed Under	51c	2,729$1,392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,337.21	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4bc…0a80backed Under	51c	2,721$1,388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,333.29	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.30per pick	50cpaid	+61.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x64f8…782bbacked Under	51c	2,716$1,385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,330.84	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5492…f6fbbacked Over	49c	2,710$1,328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,327.9	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebeb…863bbacked Under	51c	2,701$1,378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,323.49	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ad…b1bfbacked Under	51c	2,695$1,374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,320.55	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eea…76efbacked Over	50c	2,678$1,339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,339	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc1e…4f4fbacked Under	51c	2,675$1,364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,310.75	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba8…c27abacked Under	51c	2,667$1,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,306.83	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.18per pick	48cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ada…82bbbacked Under	51c	2,650$1,352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,298.5	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c16…bf00backed Over	49c	2,633$1,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,290.17	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2020…5a1dbacked Over	49c	2,625$1,286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,286.25	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab7c…03fcbacked Over	49c	2,601$1,274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,274.49	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1d…fc74backed Under	51c	2,590$1,321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,269.1	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ce4…331bbacked Under	51c	2,580$1,316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,264.2	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d0f…15eebacked Over	49c	2,579$1,264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,263.71	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32a3…bc8fbacked Over	49c	2,566$1,257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,257.34	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x62ca…2448backed Over	49c	2,550$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,249.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x594b…33c8backed Over	49c	2,525$1,237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,237.25	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7647…c75ebacked Over	50c	2,436$1,218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,218	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea9a…33f6backed Over	49c	2,336$1,145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,144.64	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10c8…e02dbacked Under	50c	2,244$1,122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,122	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ecf…f54bbacked Under	50c	2,233$1,117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,116.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac8e…5cafbacked Over	50c	2,211$1,106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,105.5	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa215…db22backed Over	50c	2,200$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	49c	2,136$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050.27	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x186f…113abacked Under	51c	2,123$1,083 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040.27	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.33per pick	47cpaid	+70.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8989…7088backed Under	50c	2,005$1,003 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,002.5	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.53per pick	48cpaid	+111.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd938…f131backed Under	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bcf…dff4backed Under	51c	1,964$1,002 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$962.36	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x730f…952cbacked Over	49c	1,964$962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$962.33	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+2.6wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5214…22adbacked Under	51c	1,874$956 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$918.26	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+120%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67f6…e661backed Under	50c	1,805$903 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$902.5	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe774…f696backed Over	49c	1,756$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860.44	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…0a43backed Over	49c	1,756$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860.44	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.30per pick	50cpaid	+60.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc1a…dfb6backed Under	51c	1,745$890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$855.05	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+50.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26c6…ddf6backed Under	51c	1,744$889 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$854.56	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b2b2backed Under	51c	1,727$881 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$846.23	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce7f…e7e7backed Under	51c	1,701$868 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$833.49	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.30per pick	50cpaid	+61.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0116…3fbbbacked Under	50c	1,677$839 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$838.5	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb434…5459backed Under	51c	1,655$844 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$810.95	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.32per pick	48cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd497…f9cbbacked Under	51c	1,646$839 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$806.54	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda36…7c31backed Under	51c	1,641$837 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$804.09	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c0…3a77backed Under	51c	1,623$828 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$795.27	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd47a…efc5backed Under	51c	1,616$824 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$791.84	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.18per pick	48cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c01…843cbacked Under	51c	1,602$817 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$784.98	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeff…e09bbacked Under	51c	1,601$817 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$784.49	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x246d…0b65backed Over	49c	1,544$757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$756.56	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c6a…3473backed Under	51c	1,536$783 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$752.64	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.49per pick	52cpaid	+94.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x954b…c2a4backed Under	51c	1,535$783 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$752.15	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5f7…8598backed Under	51c	1,533$782 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$751.17	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+46.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a23…7d5fbacked Under	51c	1,533$782 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$751.17	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e5…8062backed Over	49c	1,533$751 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$751.17	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b93…db5abacked Under	51c	1,532$781 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750.68	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.18per pick	48cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07a3…7beabacked Over	50c	1,523$762 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$761.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91d5…e679backed Under	51c	1,519$775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$744.31	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.29per pick	51cpaid	+58.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93a8…a124backed Over	49c	1,423$697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697.27	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d92…a7b0backed Over	49c	1,422$697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$696.78	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd36…338fbacked Under	51c	1,414$721 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$692.86	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+49.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ad…d26bbacked Under	51c	1,401$715 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$686.49	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f90…8fc2backed Over	49c	1,400$686 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$686	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-49%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x638a…0380backed Over	49c	1,352$662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$662.48	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x142c…cce1backed Under	51c	1,325$676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$649.25	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f79…d0c2backed Over	49c	1,322$648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$647.78	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6da9…e01abacked Over	49c	1,322$648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$647.78	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0619…c295backed Over	49c	1,312$643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$642.88	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5this page
1H Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Heat won
Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 18.5No won
Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Derrick White: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Heat vs. CelticsCeltics won
Heat vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineHeat won
Heat vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
Heat vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
Heat vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5Under won
Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Under won
Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5Under won
Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5Under won
Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5Under won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 13.5No won
Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Nikola Vučević: Points O/U 13.5No won
Norman Powell: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Heat won
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Heat won
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Heat won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event