NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd9889ad8f63c85f43dd5219a47c8a003c7d36775158a6e538a5b18dba078ed5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Heat, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,823,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,923,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,823,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,697 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5877…d894backed Heat | 32c | 205,736$66,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,080.81 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Heat | 33c | 187,879$62,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,000 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Celtics | 67c | 150,000$100,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,499.92 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Celtics | 64c | 91,683$58,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,699.87 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Heat | 33c | 91,281$30,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,122.82 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Heat | 31c | 81,187$25,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,523.61 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…db04backed Celtics | 22c | 64,074$14,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,870.97 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Celtics | 67c | 58,314$39,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,243.51 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Celtics | 67c | 53,277$35,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,581.54 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Heat | 31c | 50,000$15,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,499.97 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics | 68c | 43,350$29,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,877.73 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Celtics | 70c | 39,013$27,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,703.79 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Celtics | 63c | 39,005$24,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,582.89 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Heat | 33c | 30,300$9,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Celtics | 35c | 28,510$10,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,482.81 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Heat | 31c | 28,381$8,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,800.62 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Heat | 31c | 27,161$8,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,406.22 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 64c | 26,663$17,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,035.41 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…398fbacked Heat | 51c | 26,135$13,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,226.14 | 125 | 24.8%31 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heat | 54c | 26,086$14,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,061.92 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Heat | 30c | 25,800$7,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,797.97 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Celtics | 68c | 25,000$17,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,899.96 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Celtics | 67c | 22,634$15,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,474.08 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 68c | 22,465$15,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,259.57 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Celtics | 46c | 21,724$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,724.02 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…959abacked Heat | 49c | 20,716$10,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,053.5 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Celtics | 67c | 20,000$13,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Celtics | 69c | 20,000$13,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Heat | 32c | 20,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,299.96 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 33c | 19,645$6,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,208.82 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Celtics | 48c | 19,137$9,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,912.37 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Celtics | 70c | 18,011$12,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,412.47 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Celtics | 68c | 17,500$11,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…070fbacked Heat | 68c | 17,053$11,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,593.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Celtics | 38c | 16,416$6,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,129.96 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Celtics | 31c | 16,287$5,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,253.01 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Heat | 52c | 16,262$8,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,471.5 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Celtics | 68c | 16,024$10,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,127.61 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heat | 74c | 15,210$11,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,270.29 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Celtics | 69c | 15,000$10,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,649.98 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Heat | 29c | 15,000$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,349.97 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Heat | 33c | 14,600$4,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,818 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Celtics | 67c | 14,500$9,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,784.96 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…e152backed Celtics | 24c | 14,342$3,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,843.84 | 136 | 52.9%72 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…a86bbacked Celtics | 59c | 14,133$8,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,850.63 | 143 | 44.8%64 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Celtics | 69c | 13,842$9,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,291.02 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…8e06backed Celtics | 47c | 13,162$6,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,984.68 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Celtics | 80c | 13,049$10,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,656.91 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb729…4e2ebacked Celtics | 54c | 11,795$6,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,465.49 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3934…8352backed Celtics | 69c | 11,784$8,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,653.04 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Celtics | 47c | 11,502$5,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,099.62 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Celtics | 67c | 11,059$7,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,649.34 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Celtics | 79c | 10,826$8,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.46 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Celtics | 37c | 10,770$4,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,764.56 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Heat | 30c | 10,217$3,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,067.37 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Heat | 63c | 10,098$6,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,338.89 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Celtics | 65c | 10,033$6,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,536.88 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -15.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x938f…f13fbacked Heat | 33c | 10,001$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300.33 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Celtics | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Celtics | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Heat | 33c | 9,999$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.67 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Heat | 36c | 9,982$3,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,596.81 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…0d2abacked Heat | 33c | 9,911$3,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,270.63 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Heat | 78c | 9,640$7,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,529.57 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…0e3ebacked Heat | 33c | 9,548$3,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,151 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…fd52backed Heat | 32c | 9,495$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,015.87 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Celtics | 58c | 9,162$5,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,874.24 | 268 | 42.9%115 W · 153 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745f…ef38backed Celtics | 69c | 8,888$6,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fe…20a0backed Celtics | 69c | 8,838$6,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,739.78 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Celtics | 67c | 8,663$5,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,821.11 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…cce0backed Celtics | 69c | 8,500$5,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Heat | 36c | 8,270$2,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,967.75 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Celtics | 55c | 8,250$4,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,745.69 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Celtics | 55c | 8,236$4,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,676.72 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Celtics | 10c | 8,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,199.88 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Celtics | 31c | 7,810$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,388.07 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Heat | 33c | 7,505$2,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.65 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…26a0backed Celtics | 68c | 7,505$5,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.6 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Heat | 31c | 7,431$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.55 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…c792backed Celtics | 70c | 7,100$4,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…3b20backed Heat | 33c | 7,005$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.65 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Heat | 29c | 7,001$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.26 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Celtics | 67c | 7,000$4,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Celtics | 70c | 7,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.98 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9575…e916backed Heat | 30c | 6,500$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Celtics | 70c | 6,500$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.99 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Heat | 69c | 6,499$4,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,464.28 | 247 | 52.6%130 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…3a35backed Heat | 30c | 6,200$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +136.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Heat | 33c | 6,061$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Heat | 31c | 6,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Celtics | 10c | 6,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Celtics | 58c | 5,731$3,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.36 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Heat | 76c | 5,487$4,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,169.99 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Celtics | 26c | 5,456$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020.79 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Heat | 37c | 5,375$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.75 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Celtics | 30c | 5,228$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,635.51 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd86b…e954backed Heat | 31c | 5,161$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab3…12b2backed Heat | 32c | 5,149$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.52 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf403…e176backed Celtics | 69c | 5,149$3,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.55 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa243…6080backed Celtics | 18c | 5,126$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,206.23 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Celticsthis page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Heat won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Heat vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Heat vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Heat vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5Under won
- Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Under won
- Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5Under won
- Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5Under won
- Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5Under won
- Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5Under won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Nikola Vučević: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Heat won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Heat won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.