NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9419825fd8b339ed2728c2529808b6c4406dc9d372f620755d82ae806cd21d8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Celtics, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $784,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $786,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $784,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Heat | 53c | 451,166$239,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212,131.6 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Celtics | 47c | 284,248$133,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133,596.39 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Celtics | 47c | 165,672$77,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,865.79 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Heat | 53c | 152,827$80,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,917.14 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Celtics | 47c | 35,412$16,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,633.72 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics | 47c | 35,000$16,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,450 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Heat | 53c | 18,000$9,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,460 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…e243backed Celtics | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,050 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Heat | 52c | 12,838$6,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,170.49 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Celtics | 47c | 11,552$5,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,434.22 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Celtics | 47c | 11,111$5,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,222.17 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Celtics | 47c | 9,000$4,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,259.99 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Heat | 53c | 9,000$4,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.98 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Celtics | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 47c | 6,731$3,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,162.82 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Celtics | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Celtics | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x185c…fa2fbacked Celtics | 49c | 5,950$2,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,915.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd49…4b3bbacked Heat | 51c | 5,950$3,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,915.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…388cbacked Celtics | 49c | 5,920$2,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900.8 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf88d…796dbacked Heat | 51c | 5,920$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…20e9backed Heat | 51c | 5,900$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,891 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd499…c6b7backed Celtics | 49c | 5,900$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,891 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Celtics | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Heat | 53c | 4,910$2,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.7 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Celtics | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Celtics | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Celtics | 46c | 4,086$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.59 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Celtics | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Celtics | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.99 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Celtics | 47c | 3,961$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.86 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Celtics | 47c | 3,858$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.18 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…8d06backed Heat | 49c | 3,623$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…0cfbbacked Heat | 49c | 3,611$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 47c | 3,245$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.73 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Celtics | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Celtics | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.99 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Celtics | 48c | 2,864$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.32 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics | 47c | 2,863$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.09 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae1abacked Heat | 49c | 2,615$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Heat | 53c | 2,483$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.74 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…62c5backed Celtics | 47c | 2,444$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.68 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x909e…1451backed Heat | 49c | 2,441$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Heat | 54c | 2,221$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.66 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Celtics | 47c | 2,121$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.41 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Celtics | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb748…5b21backed Celtics | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Celtics | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x730f…952cbacked Heat | 49c | 1,960$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c26…69c2backed Celtics | 51c | 1,960$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Heat | 53c | 1,809$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.46 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x244b…7acbbacked Celtics | 51c | 1,799$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…0151backed Celtics | 51c | 1,727$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…5e68backed Celtics | 51c | 1,608$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea4a…281abacked Celtics | 51c | 1,606$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Celtics | 50c | 1,506$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc185…fa36backed Celtics | 51c | 1,469$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d0…013fbacked Celtics | 51c | 1,455$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…d9a6backed Celtics | 51c | 1,422$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6322…a886backed Heat | 48c | 1,218$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba4…7bc5backed Celtics | 51c | 1,204$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd4…8df2backed Heat | 48c | 1,088$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…a7b2backed Heat | 48c | 1,079$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Celtics | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +9.4wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1e…4f4fbacked Heat | 49c | 1,012$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Celtics | 53c | 1,001$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587e…c4ddbacked Celtics | 52c | 997$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe289…625cbacked Heat | 48c | 988$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b2…c6d5backed Celtics | 52c | 977$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02c…b1edbacked Heat | 48c | 965$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Heat | 53c | 952.21$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.21 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Celtics | 47c | 934.74$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.33 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Heat | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd558…3154backed Celtics | 52c | 925$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09e7…e2cdbacked Celtics | 52c | 921$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ff…be4fbacked Celtics | 51c | 915$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dce…57a5backed Heat | 48c | 910$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…3b4abacked Celtics | 52c | 901$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Heat | 52c | 899.96$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.65 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9436…2244backed Celtics | 52c | 855$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…93bfbacked Celtics | 51c | 812$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7992…4685backed Heat | 49c | 811$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…023bbacked Celtics | 52c | 784$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36d…4572backed Heat | 48c | 777$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…2448backed Heat | 49c | 761$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x665d…b169backed Celtics | 52c | 752$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c42…193bbacked Celtics | 51c | 752$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Heat | 51c | 734.24$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.78 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1780…c8cdbacked Celtics | 52c | 733$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…6be2backed Celtics | 52c | 729$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f36…77c7backed Celtics | 51c | 697$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Celtics | 52c | 690.61$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43c0…a43bbacked Heat | 48c | 688$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ada…82bbbacked Heat | 49c | 688$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…435abacked Heat | 48c | 677$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056e…f0afbacked Heat | 48c | 648$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Celtics | 47c | 646.65$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.54 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Celtics | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 250 | 56.8%142 W · 108 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Celtics | 47c | 638$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…54b3backed Celtics | 52c | 611$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Heat won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Heat vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Heat vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Heat vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Heat vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5Under won
- Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Under won
- Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5Under won
- Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5Under won
- Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5Under won
- Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5Under won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Nikola Vučević: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Heat won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.