TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3c26…69c2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,026Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$985.88
Spread: Hornets (-12.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,867Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,022.11
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$1,066.39
Spread: Team USA Stripes (-1.5)backed Team USA Stripes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,010Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+100%+$1,010
Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$996Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$996.17
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$3,060.41
Spread: Raptors (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$959.82
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$999.4
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$2,208.86
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$991Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$990.78
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,558Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$4,207.68
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,095Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,186.39
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,003.82
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+92.3%+$927.28
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$657.25
Game Handicap: BAM (-1.5) vs Lupus Esports (+1.5)backed Lupus Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,609Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,608.73
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+100%+$1,000.17
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$8,843Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$8,842.75
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,888Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+81.8%+$4,817.08
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,137Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$2,136.98
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$569Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$569.47
LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,917Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+44.9%+$861.28
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,043Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,043.17
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$8,766Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$8,766.3
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,279Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+100%+$2,279.31
Game Handicap: FOX (-1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,317.58
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Giron (-1.5) vs Navone (+1.5)backed Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,714Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,713.96
Schwaerzler vs. Piros: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,396Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,395.58
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Zhang (+1.5)backed Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,969Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$1,968.62
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Zhangbacked Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$253.25
Svitolina vs. Gauff: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,862Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,861.87
Svajda vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$758Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$757.97
Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Tauson (+1.5)backed Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,082Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$3,922.34
Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Jovic (+1.5)backed Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,041Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+100%+$2,041.22
Midland: Madison Brengle vs Katrina Scottbacked Scott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,038Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$2,037.96
Sakkari vs. Muchova: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,068Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+100%+$1,068.49
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,038Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$1,085.04
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,009Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$969.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)backed Como 1907 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,275Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,938.31
Juventus FC vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,008.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$973Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+104.1%+$1,012.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$264
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,033Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+35.1%+$362.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)backed Racing Club de Lens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$614Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$614.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)backed Gaziantep FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,123.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,067.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,201.18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.