Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2600d95e40f281061c612c02ebb9620976f5ece05c00d60a6d2b6a6861658256
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of T1, KT Rolster
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf70d…ef69backed T1 | 46c | 16,234$7,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,766.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c26…69c2backed KT Rolster | 54c | 16,234$8,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,766.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…f688backed KT Rolster | 55c | 7,512$4,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,106.59 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed T1 | 45c | 4,541$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.4 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed T1 | 46c | 1,728$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.62 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed KT Rolster | 32c | 1,373$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.26 | 302 | 43%130 W · 172 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked T1 | 55c | 636.18$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.19 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f67…da0ebacked T1 | 49c | 611.63$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.63 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed KT Rolster | 31c | 605.69$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.76 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed T1 | 47c | 600$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 2,367 | 31.9%756 W · 1,611 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked T1 | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1,611 | 48.4%780 W · 831 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed T1 | 46c | 514.13$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.63 | 1,158 | 49.2%570 W · 588 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed KT Rolster | 55c | 470.47$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed KT Rolster | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked KT Rolster | 54c | 397.33$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.82 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked T1 | 66c | 247.28$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.96 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked T1 | 64c | 245.83$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.43 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed T1 | 66c | 242.71$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…602cbacked KT Rolster | 55c | 240$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -30%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked T1 | 67c | 229.24$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.58 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed T1 | 68c | 229.24$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed T1 | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 1,310 | 55.8%731 W · 579 L | +43.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed T1 | 67c | 201.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…6cc8backed KT Rolster | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed T1 | 65c | 198.35$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.35 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed T1 | 68c | 196.63$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed T1 | 45c | 189.64$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.3 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe2…607bbacked T1 | 46c | 160.37$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.6 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked KT Rolster | 50c | 154$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 785 | 49.9%392 W · 393 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed T1 | 65c | 148.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…6715backed T1 | 46c | 57.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed KT Rolster | 53c | 54.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9488…434ebacked T1 | 46c | 54.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed KT Rolster | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed KT Rolster | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d92…2e20backed T1 | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed T1 | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked T1 | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked T1 | 45c | 29.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 1,049 | 44.6%468 W · 581 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d4…d0eabacked T1 | 47c | 28.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…4c2cbacked T1 | 47c | 22.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed KT Rolster | 58c | 19.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Cup Group StageT1 won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.