Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1f18365c0da0b859d27fdc0b839df1aefda41329b3274d692671c1e8dcd248f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Over | 45c | 1,384$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.9 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 64c | 937.67$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.37 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 56c | 923.43$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.58 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 752.57$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.62 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Over | 46c | 437.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Under | 54c | 412.71$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.74 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…3ab9backed Over | 45c | 355.25$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.15 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Over | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 757 | 38.6%292 W · 465 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 65c | 297.37$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.88 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Under | 72c | 138.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 53c | 129.65$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked Under | 67c | 115$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79a6…3aa9backed Over | 35c | 110.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 36c | 108.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…a7ecbacked Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 56c | 97.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe7…6ab1backed Under | 61c | 78.79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 53c | 74.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…a4b5backed Over | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…bbebbacked Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Under | 58c | 54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…159ebacked Over | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 58c | 41.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb51…f32cbacked Over | 54c | 40.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…fab9backed Over | 38c | 40.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9389…2e3abacked Over | 51c | 36.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f38…4ddbbacked Over | 43c | 34.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 44c | 34.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 362 | 44.2%160 W · 202 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd3…fefabacked Over | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Under | 61c | 27.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 364 | 67.3%245 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad11…b587backed Over | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 39c | 26.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed Under | 59c | 25.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaea…d50ebacked Under | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed Under | 56c | 21.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…2eb5backed Under | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)T1 won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Cup Group StageT1 won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.