TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x80f9…3ab9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
317
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT21146%97 W · 114 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 211 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked NRG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.65
LoL: Joblife vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: Blue Otter vs Contingent Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked Contingent Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+147.7%+$15.06
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.29
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$42
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.38
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$8.48
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffsbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$71.18
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Showing 25 of 211 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-46.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.42
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+34.5%+$16.02
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$211.26
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Will Kast win by 10% to 15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$53.8
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$149.8
Will Franco Parisi endorse no candidate for President of Chile?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+79.5%+$29.83
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$98.4
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$19.97
Will turnout in the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be at least 90%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Jeannette Jara and José Antonio Kast advance to the runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$13.07
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+36.6%+$67.37
New US sanctions on Brazilian Supreme Court Justices by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+72.7%+$13.3
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+39.8%+$11.38
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$7.23
All 20 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.63
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+379.6%+$170.19
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$46.7
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$17.2
Will Zohran Mamdani disparage Donald Trump on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+207%+$21.12
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Iran" during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+80.2%+$26.7
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Japan before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.74
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will Trump say "India" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will Donald Trump dance in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.45
Will Donald Trump sign 20-24 executive orders in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+83.5%+$23.47
Will Trump say "MAGA" in his speech after the election is called?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+29.9%+$11.5
Will Trump say "We Won" in his speech after the election is called?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+87.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+1,052.9%+$115.82
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+194.3%+$68.01
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Nothing Ever Happens: Nuclear Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Donald Trump say "F-35" during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$13.8
Will Donald Trump say "Gaza" or "Israel" 12+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Will Trump say "Kennedy" or "Autism" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$23.1
Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+380.8%+$79.2
Will Trump say "War" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8
Will Donald Trump say "Please" 7+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$23.59
Will Donald Trump say "Nuclear" during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$13.6
Will Donald Trump say "Hottest" during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$12.38
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+453.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-75.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-62.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Marlins vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Cardinals vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
Rockies vs. Guardiansbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$17
Marlins vs. Brewersbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.6
All 4 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+123.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: TES vs ALbacked TES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
LoL: KT vs HLEbacked HLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.4
League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$35
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+195.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Aug 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get more than 15m views on day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+45.6%+$9.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group B - Sweden vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.