TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

LoL: KT vs HLE

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
HLEof KT, HLE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$216,301
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$234,881

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,301 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdaef…54e9backed KT9c25,104$2,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,214.483652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed KT20c22,135$4,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,502.1788242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked KT26c15,571$4,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,048.5321924.2%53 W · 166 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b0…be26backed HLE74c13,530$10,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,521.41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a05…5c62backed KT27c12,369$3,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,339.514639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98fd…b575backed HLE71c11,200$7,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,228.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7678…e5f0backed KT13c10,733$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c40…5f2cbacked KT29c9,000$2,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,610250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed HLE73c8,189$5,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,251.422075%15 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1281…8d51backed HLE73c6,841$4,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,862.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed KT29c6,317$1,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,813.259247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d59…d20fbacked KT27c6,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,590728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-50.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked KT18c5,610$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.7622056.4%124 W · 96 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed HLE74c5,297$3,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.0526344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed KT30c5,016$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-52.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed KT22c5,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08024139%94 W · 147 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked HLE73c4,609$3,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.4955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked HLE78c4,256$3,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.611637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6458…0720backed KT17c3,863$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f9…cf34backed HLE75c2,590$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.51181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8aa1…99ffbacked KT8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005129.4%15 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9a25…0243backed KT5c2,500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-53.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dbb…050cbacked HLE75c2,359$1,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.718956.2%50 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16f0…a28dbacked KT19c2,299$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.625565.5%36 W · 19 L+6.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3806…f4c4backed KT27c2,263$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81c9…5ebcbacked KT2c2,262$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed HLE72c2,066$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.343551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed KT28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56028248.9%138 W · 144 L+21.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4d9…4d8bbacked HLE73c1,918$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.8615452.6%81 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf25…cd94backed KT25c1,714$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.66425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa046…db60backed KT29c1,710$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x581d…2b06backed KT27c1,600$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-77.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked HLE73c1,584$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.681,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed KT12c1,500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1852147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5d…91d8backed KT3c1,495$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf92c…60e7backed KT15c1,460$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.570%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa5f…005fbacked HLE72c1,388$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.69475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf8…5d1dbacked HLE75c1,334$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.06450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9375…1dbdbacked HLE75c1,200$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8662…c94fbacked KT8c1,200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa991…366bbacked KT28c1,114$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed KT12c1,083$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.9918724.1%45 W · 142 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe782…e7d9backed KT28c1,050$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.51735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed HLE74c1,040$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.95785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+58.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed HLE74c928.99$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.6916449.4%81 W · 83 L-20.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb12d…d607backed KT5c909.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed KT27c908.38$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.38714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick43cpaid-71.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ba0…3d98backed HLE73c821.92$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.92887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick69cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62f7…129abacked KT27c786.66$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked KT27c700$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1898354.2%45 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked HLE72c660$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.820855.3%115 W · 93 L+18.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf5d…d4c1backed HLE78c655.84$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed HLE75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15046340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d2…4f20backed HLE70c600$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac31…9ac0backed KT28c580.18$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e17…2301backed KT28c531.57$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb576…5a32backed KT9c512.1$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4287…14e0backed KT8c510.15$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x415c…e407backed KT4c501.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.082142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed KT25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12528351.9%147 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed KT28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14016335%57 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a68…6525backed KT16c499.69$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.429215.2%14 W · 78 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x32f0…564cbacked KT20c493.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.911729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-40.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b3…4155backed HLE70c427$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.69862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed HLE74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.411250%6 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed HLE75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10026563%167 W · 98 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked KT22c400$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e09…a4edbacked HLE73c360.94$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.45850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5827…e59ebacked KT27c358.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed HLE70c350$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10523351.5%120 W · 113 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f0f…45dabacked KT14c347.74$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked KT29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006451.6%33 W · 31 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4a6…f55fbacked KT29c316.63$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.933542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6496…8846backed KT30c304.6$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-36.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed KT25c299.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757243.1%31 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked HLE71c292.04$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.21,14649.4%566 W · 580 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed HLE76c280.23$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3624350.6%123 W · 120 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce20…bb8abacked KT12c280$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.830%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc2a…fd6dbacked KT14c280$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39ea…f75bbacked HLE75c260.73$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.183554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4ef…682fbacked KT13c260$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1da7…2e56backed HLE73c230.85$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.33757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked KT18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-41.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0db9…d97cbacked KT28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-39.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x87c7…29aebacked HLE78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+93%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc63…ca26backed KT27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-69.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ec…18f4backed KT25c199.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x64ad…3050backed HLE70c199.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608055%44 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf030…27bfbacked KT13c185$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.43737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22c7…ca3ebacked KT23c173.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.332035%7 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-41.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1c…6e03backed HLE70c160$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked HLE73c150.25$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7442149.6%209 W · 212 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb14c…7355backed KT31c150$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e6…7358backed KT18c150$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e2…5d1fbacked KT28c140.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…6765backed HLE73c140.08$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.82475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd029…ac6abacked KT18c138.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf158…cc32backed KT22c137.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed HLE73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9911369%78 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe910…0ecdbacked HLE75c132.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.